TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac5a…5f11

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6450%32 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgrenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.37
Generali Open, Qualification: Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatovbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Swiss Open, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$44.93
Swiss Open, Qualification: Thiago Monteiro vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.5
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rinconbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.48
Trieste: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+115.5%+$20.79
Trieste: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyukbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.58
ITF Slovenska Bistrica: Lucio Ratti vs Filip Jeff Planinsekbacked Lucio Ratti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$18.11
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.87
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Inaki Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.71
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.89
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+114%+$13.11
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.38
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.27
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.58
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.81
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.78
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.23
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+256.9%+$48.8
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.99
Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.56
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$21.75
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.75
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.39
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manuel Torres win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.