TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c62,098$30,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,287.424,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over63c31,303$19,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,590.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c12,476$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.522,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under71c10,584$7,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.911,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c7,707$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.272,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over52c3,761$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.994,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c3,298$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.772,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfa…d143backed Over33c1,970$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6507913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over48c1,792$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under69c1,631$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.542,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c1,582$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.182,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x627f…f83abacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over67c1,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024620.3%50 W · 196 L-21.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over67c1,374$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.897844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c1,250$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.783,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over62c1,200$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.661,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over68c1,182$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c1,050$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…c33ebacked Over31c1,019$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3163831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c965.59$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.63,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over57c916.58$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.954839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over31c913.91$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3114134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over49c807.26$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.911,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c719.3$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.151,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c655.95$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.073,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over63c647.28$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c645.09$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.841,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over65c630.65$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.811,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd79c…18a1backed Over65c615.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004454.5%24 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34845445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under67c599.99$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over49c524.47$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.482,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Over30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over36c499.98$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.491,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over31c499.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under68c485.74$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4436448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over31c401.22$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12329338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over65c383.73$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.522560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over46c373.74$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.992,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c364$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.887651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over30c337$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.371,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012253.3%65 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under36c292.16$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1472247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Under55c271.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8114841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under15c232.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.545726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over47c212$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.648550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf2…6599backed Over66c202.06$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4510644.3%47 W · 59 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under29c170.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.512,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under40c169$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6588852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over40c163$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3911167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf180…a062backed Over31c161.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under49c148.75$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.321,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3f…392ebacked Over12c145.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over31c144.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8518827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Over35c143.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9122419.6%44 W · 180 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa339…82eabacked Over32c140.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-59.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over51c135.91$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.817659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfcf9…229ebacked Over28c135.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.853745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Over32c135$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over31c129.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under18c117.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.079221.7%20 W · 72 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Under68c107.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.562147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b9…8682backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509924.2%24 W · 75 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over53c101.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.132,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Over48c99.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4828149.8%140 W · 141 L+19.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under15c98.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.712,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under42c95.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0542554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over60c93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.211,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under70c92.34$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3542853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f8…518abacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over48c81.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…8a79backed Over30c76.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Over31c68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.082437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5f…f76ebacked Over36c60.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x963c…3122backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.28143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under70c59.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.250950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28e6…0210backed Over63c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.798863.6%56 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1446243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.782,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Over35c54.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1913740.1%55 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Over31c53.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5811331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…ca25backed Over29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Over48c51.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.758355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under38c51.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9616052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over46c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.431,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over45c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over25c45.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5548328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under69c45.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.823,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…eb81backed Over67c44.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307244.4%32 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…5f11backed Over48c43.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Under70c43.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0311355.8%63 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Under41c42.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1311338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3639…a512backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.