Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54ce56de6081babcd175e8c86e883d6e1ba46964b84d3d8115242f41f31eec7c

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $153,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,522

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,465 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	32c	15,349$4,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,898.83	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	21c	14,704$3,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,046.28	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over	23c	13,813$3,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,182.49	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over	7c	10,082$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over	49c	4,918$2,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,390	352	44%155 W · 197 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over	23c	3,764$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.81	469	39.4%185 W · 284 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	43c	3,439$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.12	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	53c	3,212$1,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,511.93	202	62.4%126 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	7c	2,783$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.81	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under	53c	2,475$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161.21	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	-18.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over	6c	1,667$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	23.6%38 W · 123 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	27c	1,526$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.82	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	5c	1,459$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.95	372	42.5%158 W · 214 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Over	7c	1,447$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.26	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-43%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda5…bcf6backed Over	46c	1,139$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.05	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over	52c	1,000$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	54c	999.99$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	211	66.4%140 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under	48c	900$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over	9c	799.98$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	228	35.5%81 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Over	7c	420.71$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	221	44.8%99 W · 122 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Over	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over	51c	383.04$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	24c	304.23$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.16	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over	27c	273.81$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under	51c	266.98$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.82	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	296	39.5%117 W · 179 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over	48c	229.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.39	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over	24c	222.92$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.43	91	68.1%62 W · 29 L	+13.8wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over	8c	222$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	248	25.8%64 W · 184 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	34c	218.85$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	29c	207.03$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over	49c	204.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	47%31 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	40c	196.08$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.87	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over	17c	186.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	25c	164.93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	44c	164.4$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.82	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Under	79c	158.23$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.23	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb8…46d2backed Over	49c	142.86$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	150	38%57 W · 93 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under	51c	129.96$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.68	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under	76c	129$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	14c	113$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689d…c02dbacked Over	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf938…1e00backed Over	49c	103.55$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.74	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d7…c3c2backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over	49c	101.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.77	278	37.8%105 W · 173 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc9…f1b6backed Over	50c	100.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec5…6093backed Over	50c	99.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	63.2%43 W · 25 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2055…2a7abacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under	70c	83.33$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	50c	76.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.3	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	27c	71.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	46c	59.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d8…d46abacked Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9fa…753dbacked Over	47c	55.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under	75c	53.01$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.34	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	74c	51$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6836…5f68backed Over	48c	50.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a8f…c3e2backed Over	52c	48.38$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over	42c	47.93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabd0…8e71backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	59c	39.58$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ec…2032backed Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	+19.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	47c	38.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x574f…6849backed Over	52c	38.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	47.2%85 W · 95 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	38c	30.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x63b5…1e7abacked Over	45c	28.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	51c	25.49$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	116	59.5%69 W · 47 L	+13.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	51c	25.48$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	254	55.9%142 W · 112 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under	74c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under	52c	21.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	63c	18.94$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.99	425	54.4%231 W · 194 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under	78c	17.2$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.86	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)IR Iran won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Egypt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event