TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over19c20,722$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,952.082,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over5c19,369$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.4510128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c13,646$10,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.863,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over10c11,338$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.8811348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over0c8,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over6c6,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over1c5,801$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0319713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over27c5,388$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.2623427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under71c4,225$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.3565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over6c4,100$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.985429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over3c4,000$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9915920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c3,574$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.092,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over9c2,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under75c2,284$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over6c2,091$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Over6c1,999$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.945020%10 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over20c1,382$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over29c1,210$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.811,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over22c1,144$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11033120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over28c819.04$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2962633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under78c651.49$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.931968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cb…1688backed Over7c636.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.174566.7%30 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+83.4%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Under74c600$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over6c567.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.046418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1354…19f7backed Over24c524.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.864223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over3c505$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4158926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83bf…8aa4backed Under70c503.99$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.212348%59 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over17c486.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over29c432.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over22c412.4$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Over11c410.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.168651.2%44 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…fc64backed Under78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over7c379.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Over20c376.64$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.487622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Under80c369.5$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.920334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under77c368$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6463544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Under71c349.97$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.498742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over13c347.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.166744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed Over13c347.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1610354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over27c318.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over6c304$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under71c302.63$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.765967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over16c278.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9587938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…9535backed Under71c222.92$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c219.93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over29c211.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3338745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed Under73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.489659.4%57 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012052.5%63 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Under70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over25c188.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.382,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over19c158.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.423736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over17c150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.861,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over8c143.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.982,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf98…d0bfbacked Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.897751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60f3…7404backed Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over20c128.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.871939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over17c112.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.181,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over20c98.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.131,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Over31c95.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.717047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02e9…443bbacked Under71c95.77$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.774746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over12c90.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1331232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over22c85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over29c74.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.911,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6779…2ff6backed Under69c72.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0611650.9%59 W · 57 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7507…fab1backed Under71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424577.8%35 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe414…e5d7backed Under77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.944938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a98…dc9cbacked Under73c60.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.275862.1%36 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61cd…7d31backed Under72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc1…8b8dbacked Under70c46.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8616861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…a3bdbacked Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576155.7%34 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Under71c19.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6834540.3%139 W · 206 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under71c19.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b2…a6a3backed Under78c15.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5616264.2%104 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba5…4259backed Under77c14.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.224983.7%41 W · 8 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+30.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.