TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c29,915$9,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,728.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c11,909$8,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,863.312,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over68c10,969$7,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,547.841,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Over66c3,546$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.687843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c3,203$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.682,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c2,263$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.682,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under33c2,142$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9de…9353backed Over69c1,445$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.583961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over68c1,247$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over73c1,243$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over67c1,178$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.7465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Under33c1,037$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34229018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under33c873.27$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over67c839.9$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.171,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.584060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…4969backed Over68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2913953.2%74 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Over67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under33c467.64$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over67c463.7$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.661,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Over66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.557374%54 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over68c449.41$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8195739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over67c440.26$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.172,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5712257.4%70 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c344.42$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under32c325.11$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.191,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under32c320.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.771,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.125459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc22…ee03backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc536…7d39backed Over69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.866555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Over67c262.49$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.623063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under32c225.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1631149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over68c219$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.82,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over67c181.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.992,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under33c160.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.763,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2526343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under30c137.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.121,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf9…229ebacked Under32c126.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.453745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307135.2%25 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Over67c103.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.068151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ac…c69bbacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317436.5%27 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Over69c99.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over67c97.12$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.291,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under33c89.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6142853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fd…d128backed Over68c87.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.821952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over66c73.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.042,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4615344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4666745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1243…0944backed Over67c66.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Under33c64.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2118453.8%99 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.826344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdc…0e26backed Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.824553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Over68c58.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4215959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Over69c51.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under32c50.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211054.5%60 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Under31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158640.7%35 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under34c47.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.971,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55c8…b64bbacked Under33c45.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under32c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4442554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xada9…73c3backed Over70c42.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.996851.5%35 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7763…1f14backed Over69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+43.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under31c35.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.312,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6a…587fbacked Over66c33.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.336959.4%41 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd3…e427backed Over66c33.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.337167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1594…a834backed Over67c31.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.349454.3%51 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…8294backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.39455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.632837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff94…c347backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.35858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7fe…4a05backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993582.9%29 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee86…088fbacked Over68c28.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.223548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over69c23.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd301…f176backed Over66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.738055%44 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b2…633abacked Over68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a3c…259abacked Over68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…3a93backed Over68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x984a…2726backed Over69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7415739.5%62 W · 95 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.47061.4%43 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over67c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9166056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3545472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.