TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$852,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c137,515$83,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,158.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under41c105,555$42,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,832.9911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over61c80,966$49,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,535.7142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under39c70,000$27,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,30074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under41c55,994$23,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,176.6942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Under38c50,066$19,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,024.934143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under39c35,570$13,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,872.285745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over59c33,277$19,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,652.4877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Over59c15,127$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,277.252080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under41c12,195$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed Over58c10,165$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,269.11861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c10,059$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.871,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Under39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9810851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9722752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.3316947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under0c7,333$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.092,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c7,244$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.911,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c7,052$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.232,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over62c4,839$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.7114445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over61c4,426$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.238672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over61c4,295$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.092,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c4,291$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under39c3,961$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x825f…0d95backed Over61c3,905$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.032466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over61c3,700$2,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4431,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under26c3,325$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c3,217$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Over62c2,927$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.421050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over59c2,872$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.6865948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under13c2,473$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over77c2,453$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under43c2,100$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.9513448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under41c2,061$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.6450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f65…55d2backed Over58c1,983$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.765145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2383…072fbacked Under43c1,860$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+56.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under11c1,762$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9531232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over59c1,692$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.111,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over59c1,690$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.841,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Over59c1,682$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.421154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under40c1,657$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.317453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Under40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9837754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over62c1,419$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Over61c1,350$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53011246.4%52 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a02…8773backed Over59c1,347$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.464060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over60c1,310$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52458942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under40c1,250$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.793,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under37c1,209$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.371,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…a079backed Under42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5749…357cbacked Under42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Over61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.544841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed Over62c1,100$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4188053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e24…3474backed Over59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9514444.4%64 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1f…14b5backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…67eebacked Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Over62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38022047.7%105 W · 115 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under40c951.82$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.7348441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bb…a9f7backed Over61c940$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under40c915.27$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.061,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed Over60c830$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3325554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over61c819.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6567447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4512763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Over60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3208151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c25…6418backed Under39c788$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Over61c777$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.038140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over61c755$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.451,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under42c749.66$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.869948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under37c741.43$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.5668141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under38c708.01$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.031,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ba…9ac0backed Over60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804850%24 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x926f…c343backed Under42c690.48$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905034%17 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over60c643.13$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2543139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under2c635$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8543230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under7c630.47$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.684,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Under40c630$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4531842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under38c599.95$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9835229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under17c521.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under6c508.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0958926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Over61c508.2$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.227454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over58c507.39$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.116546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over64c505.33$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.813948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf8…bf8cbacked Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.876053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.