Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90bc3c2ee1c60be4d0b77ecd57adef36d9981758f02bc7be9f62af79c2bc60a0

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $86,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	39c	19,224$7,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,559.09	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over	59c	12,458$7,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,107.6	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	60c	5,468$3,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,182.52	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	36c	5,234$1,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.39	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	62c	4,882$3,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,869.01	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	40c	2,486$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.5	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over	59c	1,954$1,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.18	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	62c	1,613$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.9	674	47.6%321 W · 353 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	62c	1,600$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.99	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	40c	1,229$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.98	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	41c	799.85$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.44	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	60c	640$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.2	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over	59c	604.53$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.59	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	66c	599.33$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over	60c	517.06$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.06	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	60c	508.35$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.6	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	60c	373.77$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.5	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	40c	320$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over	58c	304$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.68	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over	57c	299.88$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.95	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+21.1wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	39c	293.44$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.34	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…01f8backed Over	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7f…8a37backed Over	60c	248.63$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over	58c	241.38$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.38	137	29.9%41 W · 96 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under	40c	224.61$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.16	428	53.3%228 W · 200 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	39c	213.05$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.18	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over	60c	213$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.2	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	37c	200$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.81	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	39c	180.01$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.48	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	59c	158.45$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.97	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	510	45.3%231 W · 279 L	+21.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over	60c	155.64$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.26	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over	61c	155.21$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.53	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under	40c	125$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…3b32backed Under	38c	101.84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…180dbacked Under	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	117	35%41 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under	38c	99.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	177	57.1%101 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over	60c	83.83$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa114…0833backed Under	41c	81.07$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.24	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	63c	79.36$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.36	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	60c	76.56$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.91	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed Under	41c	62.32$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.55	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Over	65c	60.45$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	78	70.5%55 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	40c	54.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	39c	54.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11fc…8262backed Over	63c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2c…ccc6backed Under	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x498b…656abacked Over	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Under	41c	47.56$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	117	45.3%53 W · 64 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287e…c0acbacked Over	60c	44$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.6	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	61c	37.87$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	311	49.5%154 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over	61c	37.87$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ce0…7c5ebacked Over	63c	37.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.81	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20e…85d7backed Under	41c	37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a18…99c9backed Under	41c	36.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	41c	36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Over	59c	35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	462	47.6%220 W · 242 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd84e…dcaabacked Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+61.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcab2…94b9backed Over	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed Under	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77fc…432bbacked Under	39c	30.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	249	55.4%138 W · 111 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	59c	30.45$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.34	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over	63c	29.99$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Over	59c	27.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.15	159	59.1%94 W · 65 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19fe…3f6fbacked Under	42c	26.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6d…9b6dbacked Under	41c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Over	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x803e…f56ebacked Over	59c	24.49$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa5…7621backed Over	73c	21.42$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Over	62c	21$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.98	303	44.2%134 W · 169 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5this page
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)IR Iran won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Egypt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event