TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$729,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$792,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $729,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over32c55,347$17,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,553.871,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under45c54,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,699.9925038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under66c41,965$27,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,270.1517550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under43c23,256$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,255.816459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over51c21,496$10,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,907.992,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under51c17,798$9,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,667.995543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under44c17,653$7,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,806.3742541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over27c14,097$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780.241,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c12,929$5,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,141.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80010851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Over17c9,166$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.196813.2%9 W · 59 L+0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under42c8,502$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,889.9977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over17c8,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3605429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9820262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over56c6,061$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.327845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed Over17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.972642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab3…afb7backed Under69c4,399$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c4,024$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.123,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over15c3,724$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.62,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over49c3,367$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over34c3,040$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.4974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over7c3,004$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.81,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under59c2,901$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.3825942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c2,706$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over10c2,596$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3331232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over54c2,387$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.1614243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over16c2,355$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8143139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under43c2,344$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.0111149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over16c1,896$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c1,763$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.862,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over15c1,667$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c1,600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19215920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over32c1,503$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.9611558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over13c1,288$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac5…53acbacked Over57c1,287$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c1,279$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.6887651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c5…21e2backed Over55c1,273$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over2c1,236$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over7c1,125$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6057338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4b…3fc2backed Over56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under65c1,040$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.7769534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over15c1,036$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.633,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Under60c1,030$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1813943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over15c1,018$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over31c1,017$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.421747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under59c1,000$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.0527543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Under55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.998341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under44c999.97$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.986659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdda5…bcf6backed Over30c993.33$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2984740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over15c975.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Over15c973.73$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0616136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under41c929.73$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.5430626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Under41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5312653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad52…990fbacked Over59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Under67c826.87$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.875251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x337a…62dbbacked Under42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.296543.1%28 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…17fcbacked Under57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.759730.9%30 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over9c699.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2143230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under71c694.44$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under72c666.65$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.192,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Over2c600$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.724829.2%14 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under51c593.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1513731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under78c584.43$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.012,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over23c583.44$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0633544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8796…4b9abacked Over58c565$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.72642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10bd…270bbacked Under47c560$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.89036.7%33 W · 57 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Over21c554.15$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9714238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over36c551.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.751,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over33c546.16$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.821,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over43c545.7$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6526949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015249.3%75 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over17c529.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over60c523.33$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31417462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over10c514.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016427.4%45 W · 119 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d71…ca3ebacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705457.4%31 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over47c484.29$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.91,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over49c466.34$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…95a3backed Over57c466.25$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.793243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over14c463.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.932,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over23c461.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5687938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over15c449.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.812,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Under45c421.03$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.5631046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec8…8c9ebacked Over59c408.33$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.754438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under78c400$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7f…2f7cbacked Under60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over36c378.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0625741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.325955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf1…d61abacked Under42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.149340.9%38 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over7c348.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over23c347.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8150146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over15c341.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e30…02a0backed Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over31c331.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10225737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.