Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aa3f0684cc15396048c58fe9615b9e47b5c395237019d31555ecef623c2e9df

Rebuilt 38 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $124,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $119,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	29,110$17,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,898.52	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	42c	19,824$8,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,331.42	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	77c	6,449$4,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,484.4	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	34c	3,916$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.76	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	40c	3,353$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.64	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	70c	3,135$2,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.89	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	24c	1,915$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.51	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over	58c	1,724$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over	56c	1,700$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Over	60c	1,656$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	246	20.3%50 W · 196 L	-21.8wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	16c	1,352$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.23	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	55c	1,199$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.69	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over	26c	1,050$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.75	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	23c	1,017$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.81	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over	21c	999.99$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	67c	929$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.17	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	77c	776.93$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.69	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	63c	645.78$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.46	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	40c	627.6$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.04	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over	21c	589.28$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.75	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over	20c	553$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.6	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a7f…3797backed Under	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Under	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	73cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over	58c	500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Over	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+11.8wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+119.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	49c	392.55$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.19	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	24c	369.08$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.58	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over	18c	344.33$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.69	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over	23c	327.64$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.02	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under	77c	289$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.47	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	55c	272.27$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.14	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	18c	265$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.57	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over	21c	263.7$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.38	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	78c	195.77$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.07	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	22c	188.64$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.35	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	22c	187.57$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over	57c	177.79$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.08	225	60.4%136 W · 89 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	28c	170$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.6	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under	42c	168.74$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.87	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	22c	168.5$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.07	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over	59c	153.88$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.79	126	54%68 W · 58 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	23c	150.72$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.48	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	35c	145.48$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over	21c	141$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.61	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25d…07e1backed Over	12c	125.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over	35c	120$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.02	324	33.6%109 W · 215 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	76c	120$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under	79c	112.34$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	428	53.3%228 W · 200 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under	78c	97.7$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.49	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	73c	95$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.13	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Over	43c	93.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Over	12c	91.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	345	26.1%90 W · 255 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over	39c	84$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.59	91	68.1%62 W · 29 L	+13.8wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	44c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under	79c	60$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	618	55.3%342 W · 276 L	+23.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over	24c	57.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.77	465	62.2%289 W · 176 L	+42.0wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under	77c	56.4$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	57c	55.71$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.21	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	65c	46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under	45c	43.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Under	46c	40.3$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.71	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Over	39c	39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	103	35.9%37 W · 66 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd298…bc1cbacked Under	78c	30.84$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.84	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+3.0wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	78c	28.69$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.31	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	44c	26.62$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	341	2.9%10 W · 331 L	-132.4wins	-0.39per pick	42cpaid	-94%equal weight	10-0.36 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under	79c	20.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	56c	20.02$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	632	55.7%352 W · 280 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Under	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.25	256	55.1%141 W · 115 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	78c	18.33$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.04	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x942a…aedcbacked Under	78c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.52	31	74.2%23 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	77c	14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.22	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5this page
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-3.5)IR Iran won
Spread: Egypt (-4.5)IR Iran won
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Egypt won
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Egypt won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event