TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,153,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,151,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,153,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 854 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b4e…0232backed Under68c205,000$139,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,632.63354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over32c200,000$64,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,999.9915552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c187,532$70,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,032.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under68c159,168$108,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,991.5515249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under69c129,979$89,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,293.3922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under68c70,000$47,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,399.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over31c51,000$15,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,81017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under68c49,398$33,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,807.2574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c41,989$14,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,756.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c35,598$15,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,451.662,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over31c32,258$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Under39c30,492$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,492.136459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over34c28,717$9,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,866.5845428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c26,897$11,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,161.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under40c23,036$9,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,917.3641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under67c22,732$15,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,473.9814232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over30c22,222$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.621836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under50c18,402$9,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,142.4342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under46c17,813$8,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,557.3336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under15c16,900$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,3654431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over1c15,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Over31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.997342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over10c14,946$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over31c14,558$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.5150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under69c13,109$9,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.122,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over39c10,753$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.7723427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under74c10,579$7,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.391,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under58c10,455$6,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.0110851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c10,179$5,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.7377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9522451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c9,897$6,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.061,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Over56c8,225$4,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over73c8,135$5,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,946.6435244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over52c7,719$4,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.9936539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…4931backed Over31c7,350$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.55250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over34c7,283$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.6174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over31c7,106$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.881,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over32c7,000$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under70c6,995$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.5633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under39c6,619$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,018.684740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked Under78c6,586$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.263865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over33c6,141$2,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,018.192,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over65c6,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9005236.5%19 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Over32c6,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92018641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over42c5,971$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.782,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over31c5,842$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.9624950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under20c5,657$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.8615929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over34c5,500$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over34c5,244$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78314445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under13c5,220$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,515.4227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under66c5,207$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.611,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over34c5,171$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.2110657.5%61 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9929633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under44c4,536$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.369525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Over30c4,528$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.48139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over32c4,500$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under73c4,224$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.8764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over23c4,130$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.4944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over32c4,119$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.9544144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Under49c4,080$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.677259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over79c4,050$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9633843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9411755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over50c3,866$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.3763544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over49c3,840$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.141,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Under50c3,794$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.1331232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over72c3,517$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.492,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over59c3,483$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.6811167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under76c3,477$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over59c3,464$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.8612266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under21c3,302$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.9542126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over34c3,227$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over32c3,140$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.8547442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c3,130$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.430626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Over32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under17c3,070$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.3324533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under61c3,065$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.7526647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5520262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Over42c2,857$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over38c2,854$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.4558642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over58c2,800$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.824238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under76c2,794$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.8427543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Over38c2,700$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.967742.9%33 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over33c2,660$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88433544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under40c2,572$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53722933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Over70c2,571$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over74c2,567$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.2687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under35c2,536$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.5343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over4c2,464$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3825125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c2,461$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.52,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under69c2,300$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71311445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under11c2,241$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.8634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under20c2,218$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.613731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x495f…9bc7backed Over32c2,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004540%18 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Under70c2,143$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.868035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.