TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Egyptof IR Iran, Egypt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,262 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed IR Iran7c23,278$1,712 inLost-$1,712.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed IR Iran9c6,913$600 inLost-$600.321,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed IR Iran6c3,366$200 inLost-$20012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed IR Iran4c2,385$104 inLost-$104.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked IR Iran10c2,000$200 inLost-$2006516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed IR Iran5c1,250$57 inLost-$571,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed IR Iran10c1,200$120 inLost-$12018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed IR Iran9c1,111$100 inLost-$10030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked IR Iran9c1,024$92 inLost-$92.161,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f3…ec52backed IR Iran9c1,000$90 inLost-$907644.7%34 W · 42 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed IR Iran2c968.5$19 inLost-$19.1446243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked IR Iran8c910.99$74 inLost-$74.092,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked IR Iran2c808.34$20 inLost-$19.651,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa1…9915backed IR Iran5c635.8$32 inLost-$31.792360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked IR Iran2c580$12 inLost-$11.625719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed IR Iran9c553.51$50 inLost-$49.8248937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad1…35d0backed IR Iran9c534.04$50 inLost-$50478.5%4 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked IR Iran6c508.47$30 inLost-$3054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked IR Iran10c500$50 inLost-$5010726.2%28 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed IR Iran6c421.01$25 inLost-$25.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked IR Iran9c324.71$29 inLost-$29.2243139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked IR Iran9c283.43$25 inLost-$25.33,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked IR Iran9c281.52$25 inLost-$25.211,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked IR Iran6c258.78$16 inLost-$15.5398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked IR Iran9c241.73$21 inLost-$21.1673234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked IR Iran9c236.97$21 inLost-$21.1824947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed IR Iran9c200$18 inLost-$1822835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca3…c660backed IR Iran10c200$20 inLost-$204634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed IR Iran9c152.49$14 inLost-$13.672,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked IR Iran7c144$11 inLost-$10.6425741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked IR Iran8c125$10 inLost-$1026720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.