Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68cc6b368a1ee9460074dc1b963b6386eec9b8bbf6df1d5b1b47f18f0989e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 2,863$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…5859backed Yes | 15c | 1,364$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.34 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.95 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 771.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.42 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 729.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…c922backed Yes | 14c | 711.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.38 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…df6abacked Yes | 14c | 439.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.03 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 41c | 188.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 17c | 187.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 18c | 162.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 34c | 158.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 66c | 137.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 133.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 79c | 125.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 15c | 121.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 102.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 38c | 100.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 18c | 85.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 76c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 65c | 80.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 15c | 71.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 39c | 31.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…8e71backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed No | 37c | 28.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 67c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.