Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ca40873cdf7f97b983caae0db2d0b28695597a09da8e4a7cf52ff0a6c516c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 12,401$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 18c | 11,015$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.32 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…55b7backed Under | 15c | 8,462$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.26 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 16c | 7,850$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.3 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Under | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.97 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 16c | 4,094$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.02 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 15c | 3,561$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.19 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…2b3abacked Under | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Under | 17c | 1,973$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.78 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed Under | 16c | 1,947$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 10c | 1,050$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Under | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed Under | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Under | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61f…35a6backed Under | 17c | 650$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 318 | 42.5%135 W · 183 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…1c29backed Under | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 15c | 498.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Under | 15c | 492.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…7d31backed Under | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 16c | 339.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 15c | 326.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…5c85backed Under | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Under | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…e7f0backed Under | 16c | 294.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 14c | 246.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 15c | 222.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cf…9dc0backed Under | 15c | 208.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Under | 15c | 206.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed Under | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Under | 16c | 181.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 15c | 177.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 15c | 134.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 15c | 130.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9002…79f4backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 14c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 109.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…c0eebacked Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Under | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5this page
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: Egypt O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 1.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 5.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5Under won
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)IR Iran won
- Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.