TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0e4…4ec7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+121%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.52
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.68
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+553.5%+$3,126.24
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.89
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.09
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.32
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.57
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$393.27
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+385.8%+$1,090.7
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$962.5
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+228.8%+$622.11
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$721.94
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$145.03
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.6
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.61
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+71%+$753.01
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+1,530.8%+$1,017.56
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.6
Israel strikes Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.01
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.46
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+69.7%+$169.36
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$121.88
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+307%+$190.39
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$65.14
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$140.64
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
South Africa to score first vs. Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$38.96
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210
Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$61.22
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.32
Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$204
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Mariano Navone vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-61.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$117
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$352.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.