Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x553c7368f360168c503becd46616394fb3b771648c1cab4c93efd3b80ecc0db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 2,016$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.05 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.33 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Over | 45c | 999.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 56c | 892.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 775.03$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 78c | 567.88$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 54c | 514.81$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 499.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Over | 47c | 458.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 22c | 387.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Over | 44c | 362.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 33c | 355.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 54c | 352.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 46c | 323.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 55c | 298.21$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed Over | 80c | 250$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 55c | 248.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Over | 46c | 248.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 21c | 248.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.43 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 17c | 240.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 33c | 239.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 226.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 226.23$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…34d5backed Under | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Under | 53c | 206.48$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 180.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 171.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 12c | 159.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 76c | 141.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Under | 58c | 101.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Over | 47c | 96.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 55c | 60.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 77c | 59.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 51c | 54.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…5b70backed Over | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…550cbacked Over | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…95c8backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…42debacked Under | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf37d…a88bbacked Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 70c | 25.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…524bbacked Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Under | 75c | 15.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.