Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ef4ba16fd5801a951557f40378f13fda49c17fee8af1ab9ffd14e845c073869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.76 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 51c | 1,769$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.16 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 69c | 1,678$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.87 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 69c | 1,233$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.41 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…53ffbacked Under | 43c | 1,112$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.34 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 49c | 1,074$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.49 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 861.55$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 55c | 845.45$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 578.45$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.88 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 463.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Over | 68c | 439.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 50c | 401.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 52c | 311.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Over | 45c | 265$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 232.68$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 51c | 165.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…05a2backed Under | 41c | 134.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 47c | 124.27$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 51c | 122.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…7f47backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 109.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 96.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 50c | 78.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…41f6backed Over | 66c | 76.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…8a5abacked Over | 69c | 71.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…eb51backed Over | 69c | 70.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 64.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 56c | 59.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked Under | 51c | 56.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…550cbacked Over | 54c | 46.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 49c | 44.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…4c5bbacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 47c | 42.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 36.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 55c | 30.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Under | 50c | 29.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…dcf6backed Over | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…1ac7backed Over | 68c | 27.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Over | 65c | 23.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.