Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15be948b8eaf7d62eebcf45249e09b43d50d3b904589fb1215cef5931fdcea57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 27c | 1,045$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.07 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 22c | 966.68$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 569.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…4867backed Under | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 27c | 428.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3149backed Over | 64c | 425.55$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Under | 32c | 393.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…6c96backed Under | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 352.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 262.8$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 15c | 236.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 70c | 233.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 17c | 199.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed Over | 71c | 188.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 20c | 170.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Over | 62c | 137$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 213 | 62%132 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 22c | 130.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 71c | 127$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Over | 72c | 103.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…db12backed Over | 79c | 94.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 16c | 90.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 16c | 88.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cc0bbacked Over | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 75c | 54.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 51 | 80.4%41 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 48.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 29c | 41.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…0d07backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…2bf1backed Over | 79c | 38.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…c928backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 68c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…0986backed Over | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.