TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 6.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c327.08$152 inWon+$174.672,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under44c313.35$136 inWon+$176.882,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c271$130 inWon+$140.923,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa231…57e1backed Over51c250$128 inLost-$127.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Under41c249.99$102 inWon+$147.4912871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4496…97c0backed Over59c225.15$133 inLost-$132.843268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over59c127.02$75 inLost-$7516950.9%86 W · 83 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Over50c120.85$60 inLost-$60.4314449.3%71 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Over53c103.77$55 inLost-$553158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x337a…62dbbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost-$506543.1%28 W · 37 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over48c87.09$42 inLost-$41.810952.3%57 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Over58c85.59$50 inLost-$5011040%44 W · 66 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost-$509939.4%39 W · 60 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost-$405141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over57c69.83$40 inLost-$405356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c65.5$33 inWon+$32.752,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under41c50.85$21 inWon+$301,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under42c50$21 inWon+$2917737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under45c41.81$19 inWon+$23.0951458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under41c40$16 inWon+$23.62,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Over59c25.42$15 inLost-$159256.5%52 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over52c21$11 inLost-$10.9276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.