Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4bcd4daf57940c5f3a27f80d378d4ca0d90ac8a6f7096528b13b4475299b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked Yes | 11c | 32,739$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 3c | 16,546$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.95 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 16c | 16,208$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.16 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 27c | 12,876$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.31 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…e556backed Yes | 3c | 10,815$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 10,430$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731d…32c9backed Yes | 9c | 10,207$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 9,368$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.21 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…238cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,854$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 5c | 6,498$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 3c | 6,149$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 73c | 6,017$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.73 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 4c | 5,714$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 10c | 5,160$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.21 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…47c4backed Yes | 2c | 4,978$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,935$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 11c | 4,653$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,600$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Yes | 12c | 4,259$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,031$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 1c | 4,003$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…7a3abacked Yes | 17c | 3,995$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 5c | 3,639$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…23cebacked Yes | 12c | 3,411$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…e66cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,328$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 3,104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…227ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,978$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 8c | 2,925$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…ef06backed Yes | 5c | 2,923$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 2,915$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 12c | 2,851$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…e59fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,674$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 1c | 2,614$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,460$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 15c | 2,251$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.82 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 5c | 2,205$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 16c | 2,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 32c | 2,162$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 2,114$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 5c | 2,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…d5cebacked Yes | 15c | 1,957$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,877$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 9c | 1,830$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,824$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,788$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…2fe0backed Yes | 13c | 1,674$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 1,562$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,555$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,540$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…c3d2backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…c202backed Yes | 17c | 1,499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,443$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 1,420$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,419$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 1,414$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b3f7backed Yes | 5c | 1,407$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…2773backed Yes | 5c | 1,376$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…bdcdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,258$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,217$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,215$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 5c | 1,213$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…08e8backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…7de7backed Yes | 2c | 1,184$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6f38backed Yes | 11c | 1,168$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked Yes | 12c | 1,159$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…c5e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 5c | 1,085$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…1336backed Yes | 2c | 1,051$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…01aebacked Yes | 14c | 1,046$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,040$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…c54abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…6631backed Yes | 4c | 993.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…68dcbacked Yes | 3c | 974.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 21c | 960.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed Yes | 6c | 947.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…422abacked Yes | 5c | 924.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 923.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…d774backed Yes | 6c | 914.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…25d8backed Yes | 2c | 906.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Yes | 5c | 859.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…58e4backed Yes | 3c | 851.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…754ebacked Yes | 5c | 836.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…4a43backed Yes | 4c | 830.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 2c | 766.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 8c | 761.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…11aebacked Yes | 5c | 752.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…a274backed Yes | 6c | 745.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…fd1dbacked Yes | 9c | 743.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 13c | 720.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…bb60backed Yes | 12c | 707$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…d536backed Yes | 14c | 701.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…a537backed Yes | 13c | 701$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 3c | 698.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…c755backed Yes | 15c | 661.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f7d8backed Yes | 26c | 653.61$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…7483backed Yes | 26c | 634.14$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.