Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8c604b95aeecc6fca82c28f7b57a9686d30a3da52866387f9527e1dc87d6b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 24,600$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 6c | 18,527$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 2c | 16,500$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.53 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 1c | 12,921$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.62 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 12,337$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.36 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 9,970$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.28 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…b427backed Yes | 1c | 9,675$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…c001backed Yes | 2c | 9,402$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 8,331$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 1c | 7,494$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…f8cdbacked Yes | 17c | 7,217$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,057$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a94…b59fbacked Yes | 9c | 6,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 5,990$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…e66cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,941$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 19c | 5,220$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.37 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 1c | 5,141$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 20c | 4,822$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.48 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 1c | 4,588$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 1c | 4,304$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,293$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 4,178$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,906$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…803cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,283$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,163$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 15c | 3,129$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.88 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Yes | 1c | 3,084$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,747$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c0…1ce7backed Yes | 3c | 2,673$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c4…b517backed Yes | 13c | 2,613$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 6c | 2,543$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8bd4backed Yes | 17c | 2,531$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Yes | 23c | 2,422$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…c801backed Yes | 19c | 2,323$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…743bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,296$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Yes | 4c | 2,249$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 2,230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…5625backed Yes | 2c | 2,205$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,066$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 1c | 2,064$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,051$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…6064backed Yes | 0c | 2,021$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…8961backed Yes | 1c | 1,972$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,866$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…0fc7backed Yes | 16c | 1,858$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 1c | 1,837$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 1,812$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…e59fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,575$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…77abbacked Yes | 2c | 1,573$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…b715backed Yes | 19c | 1,555$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…6db6backed Yes | 7c | 1,545$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,544$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 2c | 1,514$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…d933backed Yes | 2c | 1,484$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +459.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,372$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes | 10c | 1,323$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 1,317$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 18c | 1,310$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.63 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,246$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…fc51backed Yes | 15c | 1,214$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…0f36backed Yes | 4c | 1,209$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed Yes | 10c | 1,207$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 22c | 1,200$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.62 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…3b66backed Yes | 1c | 1,168$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +406.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x609f…c5a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,131$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…af6cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,117$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…6412backed Yes | 23c | 1,110$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 3c | 1,008$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8591…43f6backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…c4f5backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e200backed Yes | 21c | 960.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9e39backed Yes | 8c | 927.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…bd47backed Yes | 2c | 921.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 16c | 859.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 4c | 844$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…2ab3backed Yes | 3c | 838.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82e…7fc0backed Yes | 19c | 817.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…2985backed Yes | 12c | 808.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 3c | 807.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e24…ed17backed Yes | 14c | 789.23$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes | 6c | 763.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…e702backed Yes | 8c | 756.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…be5abacked Yes | 6c | 740.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…0abdbacked Yes | 11c | 722.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b2afbacked Yes | 11c | 720.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ba…2b97backed Yes | 9c | 706$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 22c | 700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…b272backed Yes | 2c | 699.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 20c | 698.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 14c | 697.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…7353backed Yes | 2c | 678.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +342.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…30a8backed Yes | 14c | 670$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 17c | 659.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…69d8backed Yes | 2c | 643.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…8999backed Yes | 16c | 637.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…0231backed Yes | 6c | 622.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.