Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bda26852831846eb3cfe4631c4f881f9322c9294fa3d466ad510c1fc7d36f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 6c | 29,741$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 1c | 16,901$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 3c | 15,361$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…e556backed Yes | 3c | 12,224$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…e66cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,631$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 9,993$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,807$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,145$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731d…32c9backed Yes | 3c | 7,444$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…803cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,365$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…47c4backed Yes | 2c | 6,713$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.35 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 2c | 6,475$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 2c | 5,426$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 5,212$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,213$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92b…f682backed Yes | 2c | 4,070$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 3,886$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 3,750$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,441$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb001…816abacked Yes | 6c | 3,200$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 3,192$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…ff1dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,958$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 4c | 2,490$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,476$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 2,456$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,222$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 2,164$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…62cabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…d5c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,984$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d2…9c2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,881$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeada…58d1backed Yes | 5c | 1,838$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,748$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,645$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,613$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…92acbacked Yes | 1c | 1,521$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Yes | 1c | 1,519$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…d536backed Yes | 7c | 1,501$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,484$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 1c | 1,431$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…77b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,309$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 8c | 1,308$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 1c | 1,279$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,261$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…c755backed Yes | 9c | 1,158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 2c | 1,101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92e…f9eebacked Yes | 5c | 1,092$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…fd1dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,054$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…7de7backed Yes | 3c | 1,045$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,018$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…e809backed Yes | 3c | 943.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…5479backed Yes | 5c | 936.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…a274backed Yes | 3c | 875.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked Yes | 2c | 839.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d65…beb4backed Yes | 3c | 820.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc33…633ebacked Yes | 3c | 811.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3316…bbaebacked Yes | 6c | 804.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…5a90backed Yes | 3c | 800.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…5eb7backed Yes | 5c | 774.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 748.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1429backed Yes | 4c | 735.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…4a43backed Yes | 3c | 727.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 2c | 725.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 34cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…0082backed Yes | 4c | 722.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 2c | 715.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7372…e4c6backed Yes | 2c | 704.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 6c | 699.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…cea3backed Yes | 4c | 662.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6f38backed Yes | 4c | 650.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…c5e7backed Yes | 2c | 648.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked Yes | 3c | 627.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd415…cf14backed Yes | 8c | 555.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f7d8backed Yes | 8c | 531.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…e502backed Yes | 4c | 523.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 6c | 520.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…c3d2backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…f3cebacked Yes | 3c | 485.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -77%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82c…620abacked Yes | 9c | 444.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…96ecbacked Yes | 2c | 414.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…db76backed Yes | 4c | 410.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 12c | 403.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d4…662cbacked Yes | 5c | 400.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…92a9backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…5711backed Yes | 3c | 399.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…7b63backed Yes | 8c | 397.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…452fbacked Yes | 8c | 394.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 359.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…0b72backed Yes | 7c | 342.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923e…ab45backed Yes | 8c | 329.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…ef27backed Yes | 5c | 329.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…7b8dbacked Yes | 3c | 322.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…4046backed Yes | 6c | 309.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…767dbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…ee96backed Yes | 6c | 288.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…efebbacked Yes | 8c | 264.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 6c | 230.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…8b78backed Yes | 8c | 177.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.