Commodities · resolved market
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87329b0a31ce002e2e8ee5a6e7fa9d835075e8fb8324769bd3f87c53b35b6934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 44c | 15,204$6,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,618.69 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 5c | 11,961$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.35 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed Yes | 1c | 10,341$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…1679backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…e1cdbacked Yes | 26c | 9,800$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…e556backed Yes | 4c | 9,673$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f0…ef06backed Yes | 29c | 8,708$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 17c | 8,692$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.7 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 0c | 8,253$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 71c | 7,747$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 1c | 7,382$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 7,270$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 6,698$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 4c | 6,058$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,603$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.45 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…284ebacked Yes | 16c | 5,504$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 19c | 5,155$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.12 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…40efbacked Yes | 1c | 4,757$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,739$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731d…32c9backed Yes | 24c | 4,021$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…7a3abacked Yes | 39c | 3,990$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…10b2backed No | 74c | 3,800$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,720$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked Yes | 43c | 3,612$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,456$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.31 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb001…816abacked Yes | 10c | 3,313$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a20…aab2backed No | 74c | 3,300$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…b5edbacked No | 59c | 3,258$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…422abacked Yes | 9c | 3,253$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,133$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…68e3backed Yes | 18c | 2,999$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 5c | 2,725$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0455…e853backed No | 74c | 2,700$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…f1babacked Yes | 38c | 2,666$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 4c | 2,593$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,585$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 39c | 2,574$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 2,562$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.62 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 70c | 2,504$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 13c | 2,435$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 35c | 2,413$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…0b28backed Yes | 8c | 2,373$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…e66cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,363$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…2985backed Yes | 9c | 2,321$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,156$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 3c | 2,137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Yes | 47c | 2,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…6db6backed Yes | 12c | 2,088$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 4c | 2,058$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x887d…634ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,959$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,898$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…c7fbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,828$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…3307backed Yes | 4c | 1,803$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…e02abacked Yes | 30c | 1,780$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 4c | 1,773$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…6df3backed Yes | 29c | 1,753$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 19c | 1,681$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…592cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,548$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…00b3backed Yes | 19c | 1,543$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4901…cc02backed Yes | 33c | 1,538$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 4c | 1,468$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…1d25backed Yes | 1c | 1,408$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,405$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…77b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,402$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…25d8backed Yes | 4c | 1,382$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c8…9081backed Yes | 40c | 1,360$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed Yes | 37c | 1,358$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…c8cebacked No | 71c | 1,322$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 12c | 1,300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…ec1fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,293$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…e59fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 58c | 1,204$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.16 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…23cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…9050backed Yes | 39c | 1,160$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a74…9043backed Yes | 3c | 1,154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,153$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked Yes | 38c | 1,109$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…e41dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,051$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 1,028$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,002$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…c374backed Yes | 7c | 995.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…a7edbacked Yes | 5c | 993.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…d019backed Yes | 5c | 993.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed Yes | 44c | 984.75$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b3f7backed Yes | 4c | 975$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 4c | 969.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 949.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 3c | 944.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 939.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…ca60backed Yes | 24c | 936.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25f…8966backed Yes | 5c | 927.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4497backed Yes | 5c | 900.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…abf5backed No | 66c | 896.31$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 61c | 881.42$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?this page
- Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes won
- Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?No won
- Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.