TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9a7…320c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+53.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.71
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.01
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+800.9%+$445.38
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+335.3%+$1,029.05
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.34
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$97.31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.37
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$34.17
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$157.79
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.75
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$34.78
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.75
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+120.6%+$945.58
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.89
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$260.02
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+1,545%+$352.2
Will Tuomas Iisalo win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Will Kenny Atkinson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will Tyronn Lue win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will Rick Carlisle win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Doc Rivers win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.28
Will Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Will Willie Green win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Alex Caruso win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.81
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Keon Ellis win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.13
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.01
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.71
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.53
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.91
Russia coup attempt in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.39
Ukraine joins NATO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.13
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-86.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.08
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$162.14
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.84
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Paradex FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$70.77
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$164.24
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$293.98
Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.58
Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.96
Will Infrared launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$118.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will Patrik Laine win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.94
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Norton announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.57
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.14
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.69
Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.52
Will Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.22
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.64
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.56
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.28
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.58
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.33
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$32.77
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$33.16
Will the GPT-5 launch be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.31
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.24
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+97.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.