NHL · resolved market
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c1fce376d656435c88daf66e490a2ea1333808c3ba8c17d7b39dc6eb5df4f38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 7c | 6,224$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.17 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 2c | 4,564$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…26d3backed Yes | 6c | 1,654$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…2932backed Yes | 6c | 1,571$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…5688backed Yes | 6c | 1,456$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…e2bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,415$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…464ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,388$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…332ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,333$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 2c | 1,324$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…0249backed Yes | 5c | 1,277$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…6f42backed Yes | 6c | 1,207$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…6f00backed Yes | 5c | 1,163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…9b86backed Yes | 6c | 1,122$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a2…d57abacked Yes | 6c | 1,057$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…d7bcbacked Yes | 6c | 943$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…c379backed Yes | 6c | 865$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…97ccbacked Yes | 6c | 835$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…abd4backed Yes | 6c | 816$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…e442backed Yes | 5c | 784$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…a17dbacked Yes | 6c | 779$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…bfc9backed Yes | 6c | 776$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…c28dbacked Yes | 5c | 725$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…44a7backed Yes | 6c | 724$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…2bb5backed Yes | 6c | 696$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…d6ecbacked Yes | 5c | 645$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…7fc7backed Yes | 6c | 633$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…a070backed Yes | 5c | 608.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfc…a7aabacked Yes | 6c | 572$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…a38dbacked Yes | 6c | 557$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…9506backed Yes | 5c | 556$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…e7c4backed Yes | 6c | 553$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 5c | 529.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…db7ebacked Yes | 5c | 520$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 5c | 448.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…3175backed Yes | 5c | 423$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…4768backed Yes | 5c | 372$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…d4f5backed Yes | 5c | 346$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…05bebacked Yes | 9c | 337.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…6cf2backed Yes | 5c | 329$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…6b61backed Yes | 26c | 315$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…6c76backed Yes | 5c | 313$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes | 16c | 270$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…7a41backed Yes | 4c | 256.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 239.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 6c | 209.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 199.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…9a8cbacked Yes | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Yes | 9c | 169.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6225…5eb6backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…6badbacked Yes | 9c | 145$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.