NHL · resolved market
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e22889f3cf294f483a518d61ea2aad40ee79f8be39e7a2da1858daa7b4c8e68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 18,561$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…f507backed Yes | 7c | 4,504$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…d93abacked Yes | 10c | 4,383$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 15c | 3,595$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.79 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…7043backed Yes | 11c | 3,292$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9f38backed Yes | 7c | 2,979$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…cc8abacked Yes | 11c | 2,825$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…a71cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,764$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…a486backed Yes | 11c | 2,606$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…890dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,391$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 2,360$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.91 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…3871backed Yes | 11c | 2,291$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…e86cbacked Yes | 11c | 2,195$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…6c4bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,097$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…bdecbacked Yes | 11c | 2,093$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a2…d57abacked Yes | 11c | 2,034$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 12c | 1,988$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2951backed Yes | 7c | 1,860$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…3901backed Yes | 10c | 1,841$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…59edbacked Yes | 11c | 1,801$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42e…dd36backed Yes | 10c | 1,772$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…3749backed Yes | 7c | 1,744$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 12c | 1,740$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…9648backed Yes | 11c | 1,709$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…c741backed Yes | 10c | 1,664$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…5aecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,603$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b7a5backed Yes | 10c | 1,590$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 16c | 1,570$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 7c | 1,458$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…af07backed Yes | 7c | 1,414$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 1,411$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.15 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…277bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,388$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…15e6backed Yes | 13c | 1,329$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…35ebbacked Yes | 19c | 1,278$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…0467backed Yes | 7c | 1,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9616…4723backed Yes | 20c | 1,235$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…62d2backed Yes | 13c | 1,171$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…5236backed Yes | 7c | 1,163$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…9647backed Yes | 7c | 1,145$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…6a1ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,122$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 12c | 1,050$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5d…ff55backed Yes | 7c | 1,048$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…8a91backed Yes | 12c | 1,037$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…a272backed Yes | 11c | 1,007$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…d7f5backed Yes | 12c | 1,004$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…fb29backed Yes | 12c | 989$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…aec6backed Yes | 10c | 983$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 80c | 953.55$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…cdaabacked Yes | 13c | 949$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…0a2dbacked Yes | 13c | 928$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…a866backed Yes | 7c | 926$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…9802backed Yes | 12c | 923$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…97fabacked Yes | 11c | 890$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b61…7365backed Yes | 12c | 767$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…29b2backed Yes | 13c | 746$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518d…81ffbacked Yes | 13c | 739$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…b54fbacked Yes | 12c | 736$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 11c | 709$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 16c | 656.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 15c | 615.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c89…a5fabacked Yes | 13c | 607$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 31c | 474.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…a116backed Yes | 7c | 455$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 10c | 442$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ccb6backed No | 80c | 434$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 11c | 403$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…66dabacked Yes | 17c | 399.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 11c | 397.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 21c | 319.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 10c | 301.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 283.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 12c | 270.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…fc9bbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 5c | 213.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…7b3cbacked Yes | 16c | 210.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Yes | 14c | 179.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 178.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…6559backed Yes | 14c | 165.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 15c | 165$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…e1dcbacked Yes | 20c | 151.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Yes | 14c | 145.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 15c | 137.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed Yes | 10c | 134.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd9…a743backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…36c2backed Yes | 24c | 129.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…348bbacked Yes | 20c | 123.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Yes | 12c | 122.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…5efabacked Yes | 12c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 13c | 94.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Yes | 12c | 86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6a…7e49backed Yes | 13c | 78.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 14c | 76.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…7eabbacked Yes | 25c | 71.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…39dfbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.