NHL · resolved market
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x452f9e53cec1846bd092436b33613c64bcb03cc23e46554c3d163de39b309c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $829,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc5…afc9backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 70c | 42,393$29,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,837.67 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 30c | 32,168$9,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,560.59 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Yes | 19c | 30,118$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,721.19 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 24,353$17,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…799bbacked Yes | 49c | 18,160$8,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,914.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed Yes | 30c | 14,400$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 29c | 11,888$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.52 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed No | 71c | 9,900$7,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 58c | 8,883$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.86 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…33f2backed Yes | 11c | 8,859$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…e005backed Yes | 12c | 8,652$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 70c | 7,326$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.65 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Yes | 20c | 7,059$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 69c | 6,110$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 75c | 5,003$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.63 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…18d9backed Yes | 26c | 4,912$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 9c | 4,399$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.23 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 75c | 4,365$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 13c | 4,041$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…84a9backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 35c | 3,932$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.94 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Yes | 28c | 3,923$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…6bdcbacked Yes | 9c | 3,800$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…9654backed Yes | 18c | 3,647$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 12c | 3,240$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.39 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d1…8557backed Yes | 26c | 3,024$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…7abbbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 62c | 2,868$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.16 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Yes | 30c | 2,691$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.96 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756f…d7febacked Yes | 6c | 2,060$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 27c | 2,050$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.7 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 52c | 2,008$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.6 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Yes | 24c | 1,852$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 55c | 1,800$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…163fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,757$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…293ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,536$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…3824backed No | 71c | 1,488$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…d489backed Yes | 7c | 1,437$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…eb07backed Yes | 23c | 1,402$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 35c | 1,395$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 7c | 1,374$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 16c | 1,339$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.06 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…e8d1backed Yes | 36c | 1,315$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…82abbacked Yes | 15c | 1,278$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a3…68efbacked Yes | 27c | 1,215$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 8c | 1,143$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…05bebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…4c6cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,099$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 16c | 1,007$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…f997backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…98acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…e364backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 64c | 964.76$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…e460backed Yes | 30c | 943.67$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 74c | 921.45$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…0fa3backed Yes | 28c | 891.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Yes | 26c | 850.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…ecfebacked Yes | 30c | 834.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 33c | 828.27$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c2…8539backed Yes | 24c | 809.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 4c | 776.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 11c | 758.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 38c | 710.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…356ebacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Yes | 16c | 666.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.72 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…6192backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 658.45$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…fc9bbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…7263backed Yes | 17c | 584.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 20c | 572.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 18c | 565.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…d0f5backed Yes | 18c | 556.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…fe63backed Yes | 31c | 549.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…3666backed Yes | 19c | 523.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Yes | 36c | 509.78$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…6bbfbacked Yes | 10c | 504.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…f67dbacked Yes | 22c | 500.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed No | 70c | 499.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Yes | 17c | 498.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…eee8backed Yes | 30c | 497.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed No | 80c | 475$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 471.75$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…38a7backed Yes | 45c | 457.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1329backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.