TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe626…6771

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid-8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+245%+$2,147.71
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$821.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$573
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.3
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.82
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.17
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$81.97
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.66
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+214.4%+$107.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+259.2%+$388.84
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$134
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$62.01
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80.06
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$32.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+78%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will NVIDIA reach $184 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $295?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,877.64
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+178.8%+$733.35
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$68.65
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$97
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+71%+$70.66
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+89.4%+$86.7
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+222.9%+$221.75
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+565.1%+$280.71
Will Amazon reach $240 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$479.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$153.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$227.78
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$501.57
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$135.96
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.5%+$38.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$19.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.