Token Launches · resolved market
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c11eb9f3bbeda6dad3f6cbc3e0c6e82c3a1455aaeef5d0908c36ddfbef63958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d0e…da62backed Yes | 60c | 42,704$25,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,993.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 46c | 9,786$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.46 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 40c | 8,699$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.42 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 30c | 8,132$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.96 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 20c | 7,691$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.13 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 22c | 7,659$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.05 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 7,266$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked No | 10c | 5,411$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aee…a4c5backed Yes | 44c | 4,781$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…3a01backed No | 50c | 4,292$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.44 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked No | 28c | 4,251$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.61 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…1a89backed No | 50c | 4,008$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.72 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed No | 24c | 3,680$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed No | 47c | 3,312$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.26 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…24a8backed No | 1c | 3,155$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6708…ac14backed No | 66c | 3,057$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…a219backed No | 73c | 3,031$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…30cbbacked No | 40c | 3,000$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.52 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 25c | 3,000$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…f6cbbacked Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…8a6cbacked No | 33c | 2,791$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 16c | 2,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…78cabacked No | 50c | 2,488$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…b7f7backed Yes | 69c | 2,291$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 47c | 2,230$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.1 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Yes | 54c | 2,198$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed No | 19c | 1,957$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed No | 19c | 1,948$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…8bc2backed No | 48c | 1,786$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…f1d6backed No | 9c | 1,761$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 21c | 1,757$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05e…9156backed No | 16c | 1,747$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…ac2bbacked No | 29c | 1,643$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.83 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked No | 50c | 1,521$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.36 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4902…7214backed No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed No | 33c | 1,471$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 1,464$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 19c | 1,460$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.25 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d0b2backed No | 25c | 1,417$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed No | 1c | 1,399$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…e156backed Yes | 38c | 1,376$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed No | 40c | 1,333$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.97 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 1,308$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.82 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…0615backed Yes | 80c | 1,252$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccbe…bdc1backed Yes | 53c | 1,249$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 19c | 1,226$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…db8ebacked No | 71c | 1,194$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 9c | 1,151$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec19…5dc1backed Yes | 76c | 1,122$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb0…219cbacked No | 16c | 1,117$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 1,108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…e64fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,077$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 35c | 1,073$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.13 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed No | 46c | 1,069$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 11c | 1,020$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4778backed Yes | 77c | 1,020$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…ed77backed No | 21c | 1,020$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 55c | 1,001$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…bbd8backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…1319backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd5…aa9ebacked No | 15c | 999.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed No | 10c | 999.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…57b9backed No | 24c | 983.87$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Yes | 67c | 959.56$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.9 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed No | 15c | 957.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…39c4backed No | 61c | 956.45$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 38c | 935.26$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…5dd3backed Yes | 40c | 909$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…f055backed No | 64c | 854.84$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6852backed Yes | 73c | 828.12$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 38c | 822.58$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…41eabacked No | 60c | 813.55$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked No | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Yes | 63c | 799$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…f6a5backed No | 15c | 790.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…8ee7backed No | 11c | 787$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked No | 39c | 765$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.35 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 29c | 750$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…7d02backed Yes | 60c | 744.57$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 58c | 699.99$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…4accbacked No | 20c | 686.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…d73cbacked No | 20c | 681$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…5f75backed Yes | 57c | 681$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked No | 59c | 647.91$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf688…b14ebacked No | 19c | 639.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…8b06backed Yes | 44c | 635.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 20c | 633.36$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 32c | 629.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e6…b3fdbacked No | 45c | 627.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed No | 30c | 621$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked No | 65c | 619.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed No | 13c | 604.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 7c | 600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…9018backed Yes | 78c | 599.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- Seeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?No won
- Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
- Seeker FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.