Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9df87e084d77d5a3ee0c4316303e0a7acab16b2af6df23fb2e16fea37d656c9

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $123,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $135,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,962 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf934…1319backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe31a…0fc2backed Yes	16c	8,717$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…e64fbacked Yes	12c	5,622$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.02	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	4,552$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa28e…5dd3backed Yes	18c	4,549$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabe…10dbbacked Yes	13c	3,729$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…c96dbacked Yes	15c	2,928$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	6c	2,193$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.55	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-91.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,672$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.89	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c36…cb44backed Yes	15c	1,643$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	5c	1,290$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.27	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf069…7f74backed Yes	8c	1,258$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,234$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.77	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	4c	1,190$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.56	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d8…30bbbacked Yes	18c	966.22$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.92	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc344…1c10backed Yes	9c	871.18$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	5c	820.65$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.36	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea8…7df8backed Yes	12c	799.98$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked No	66c	795.76$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.56	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7205…ffd4backed No	80c	715.52$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.1	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	2c	693$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe492…f21bbacked No	80c	659.99$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	5c	630.51$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	112	2.7%3 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf338…16afbacked Yes	24c	620$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x893a…36edbacked Yes	7c	599.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef0…8ea6backed Yes	17c	599.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c67…68f5backed Yes	15c	595.18$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.37	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccbe…bdc1backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	584.53$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.89	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9055…7b78backed Yes	3c	580$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2628…6524backed Yes	9c	567.88$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	2c	538.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…df65backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9936…c1a9backed No	73c	478$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.98	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c05…93f5backed Yes	8c	477.97$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c7…d1bcbacked Yes	17c	426.84$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-75%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74a…f20bbacked Yes	15c	370$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes	20c	333.33$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.02	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bdc…915abacked Yes	17c	330.51$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.05	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9b…78d6backed Yes	16c	315.74$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fce…efd4backed Yes	17c	302.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c7…01ddbacked Yes	21c	300$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe218…8580backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29e4…16a6backed Yes	7c	285.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aef…9d05backed Yes	11c	284.31$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	13c	282.27$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.49	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a9a…21cbbacked Yes	7c	275.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…92c5backed Yes	15c	265.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	80c	250$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.57	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x226a…52c2backed Yes	16c	250$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba85…dec7backed Yes	20c	234.44$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes	12c	225.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.57	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6da…4e78backed Yes	16c	218.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc0…8100backed Yes	14c	215.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.88	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-4.6wins	-0.16per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1895…759fbacked No	79c	200$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.23	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-82%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed No	72c	200$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa5…888fbacked No	78c	199.57$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.22	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9f…ea99backed Yes	16c	188.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x875e…e6b5backed Yes	12c	176.02$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes	13c	171.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec94…8c22backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes	11c	165.47$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	156	37.2%58 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes	11c	165$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1016…c866backed Yes	8c	163.08$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ace…a3cfbacked Yes	17c	149.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3472…102bbacked Yes	14c	139.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	78c	121.96$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.37	463	20.5%95 W · 368 L	-68.1wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x6c2f…04ccbacked Yes	12c	120.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa939…28c0backed Yes	16c	120$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…ad68backed Yes	17c	118.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f0…f936backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	79c	114.11$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.54	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5102…6f2abacked Yes	18c	113.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9da…f9debacked Yes	15c	102.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f30…3a58backed Yes	15c	100.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c8…f330backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1dc…5460backed No	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d1…f31abacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4262…beb8backed Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82a3…5f75backed No	60c	91.71$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.69	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d4d…b3f4backed No	76c	91.03$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+10.3wins	+0.15per pick	32cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x31de…03ffbacked Yes	15c	90.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x841f…806bbacked No	58c	87.87$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad51…55abbacked Yes	15c	78.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8148…060ebacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb03…d0b1backed Yes	19c	55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f3…5d04backed No	75c	53.58$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.58	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66f7…417cbacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd07e…00dbbacked No	75c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28df…13ebbacked No	50c	42$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.6wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+29%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b32…dbcabacked Yes	27c	40.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4223…3b4cbacked No	78c	38.46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	72cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbe…3678backed Yes	42c	34.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac2e…da49backed Yes	40c	29.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb6…0956backed Yes	42c	28.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e6…b3fdbacked No	59c	22.37$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.17	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.9wins	+0.15per pick	44cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f19…e9fabacked No	77c	15.64$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?this page
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Seeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?No won
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Seeker FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
Seeker FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Seeker FDV above $400M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event