TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66f7…417c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.73
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$29.73
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$41.09
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+87.1%+$39.21
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+48.2%+$48.16
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$21.3
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.73
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$15
UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203.3%+$40.66
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Chikadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+498.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+498.7%+$99.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.