NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4ccd69c581deb1aad6f587083a4800d458d6a12f3d202418a53e0c40b18c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Raiders, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,605,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,564,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,605,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 10c | 273,338$28,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,167.11 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Raiders | 11c | 263,908$29,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,029.86 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raiders | 11c | 185,000$19,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,849.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Raiders | 11c | 137,863$15,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,164.95 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Raiders | 10c | 124,327$12,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,675.94 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Raiders | 11c | 90,470$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,926 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Raiders | 9c | 74,067$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raiders | 10c | 69,397$7,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.45 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raiders | 10c | 48,045$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.5 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Raiders | 11c | 44,352$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.67 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Raiders | 22c | 40,951$8,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,968.53 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raiders | 10c | 33,846$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.41 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raiders | 14c | 25,372$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.34 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders | 13c | 21,712$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.16 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Raiders | 10c | 20,735$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raiders | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raiders | 10c | 19,411$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.14 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…96bbbacked Raiders | 13c | 15,677$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Raiders | 10c | 15,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Raiders | 0c | 14,876$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raiders | 10c | 13,416$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.6 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raiders | 11c | 13,398$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.07 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texans | 70c | 12,597$8,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.56 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Raiders | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Raiders | 9c | 9,999$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.35 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Raiders | 8c | 8,343$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.47 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raiders | 6c | 8,261$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.66 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raiders | 2c | 8,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Raiders | 9c | 8,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Raiders | 11c | 7,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raiders | 18c | 6,571$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.09 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raiders | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Raiders | 10c | 5,276$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raiders | 10c | 5,069$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.94 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Raiders | 10c | 4,947$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.73 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Raiders | 10c | 4,920$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Raiders | 10c | 4,481$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.55 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Raiders | 10c | 3,684$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Raiders | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texans | 73c | 3,532$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.28 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Raiders | 10c | 3,451$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.24 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raiders | 10c | 3,413$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Raiders | 12c | 3,343$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…78c6backed Raiders | 11c | 3,237$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…fb07backed Raiders | 11c | 3,105$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Raiders | 10c | 2,918$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raiders | 2c | 2,837$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Raiders | 13c | 2,770$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.09 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8f…3f00backed Raiders | 11c | 2,642$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Raiders | 2c | 2,555$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Raiders | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…71d2backed Raiders | 11c | 2,462$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Raiders | 23c | 2,218$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raiders | 14c | 2,203$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.03 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Raiders | 9c | 2,179$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.27 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…5bd7backed Raiders | 26c | 2,085$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.46 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Raiders | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raiders | 1c | 2,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Raiders | 18c | 2,000$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Raiders | 10c | 1,905$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 24c | 1,901$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.74 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Raiders | 11c | 1,880$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Raiders | 9c | 1,694$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Raiders | 24c | 1,631$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Raiders | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1924…90bbbacked Raiders | 11c | 1,449$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Raiders | 6c | 1,446$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Raiders | 28c | 1,445$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…b03cbacked Raiders | 11c | 1,421$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Texans | 67c | 1,406$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.65 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Raiders | 10c | 1,400$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…9a83backed Raiders | 11c | 1,301$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raiders | 19c | 1,272$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.43 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Raiders | 10c | 1,211$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.1 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raiders | 11c | 1,200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Raiders | 14c | 1,175$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raiders | 9c | 1,151$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…0331backed Raiders | 11c | 1,115$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Raiders | 11c | 1,087$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Raiders | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Raiders | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Raiders | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Raiders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Raiders | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Raiders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Raiders | 23c | 993.7$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…e1c3backed Raiders | 11c | 973$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Raiders | 11c | 966.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texans | 78c | 928.4$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Raiders | 13c | 923.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Raiders | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eab…b026backed Raiders | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Raiders | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…15c4backed Raiders | 11c | 887$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…5455backed Raiders | 18c | 858.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Raiders | 11c | 800$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 76c | 756.41$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed Raiders | 12c | 743.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Texans | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Texansthis page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-7.5)Raiders won
- Raiders vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 37.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Spread: Texans (-11.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Texans (-12.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Texans (-14.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.