NFL · resolved market
Spread: Texans (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802a414d66f82720b3a408250008f5c81bc3765cd1868ef2eaa2bac9ea600097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Texans, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raiders | 52c | 45,000$23,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.99 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texans | 48c | 20,787$9,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,945.57 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked Texans | 48c | 16,500$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Texans | 48c | 11,404$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,473.97 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Raiders | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Texans | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Raiders | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raiders | 53c | 5,160$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.14 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texans | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.97 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texans | 47c | 4,704$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.48 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Texans | 49c | 4,592$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Raiders | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raiders | 51c | 3,270$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.2 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Texans | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texans | 47c | 2,676$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.66 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Texans | 43c | 2,428$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.76 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raiders | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Texans | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Raiders | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.44 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Raiders | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Texans | 48c | 1,844$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raiders | 56c | 1,558$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.2 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raiders | 51c | 1,500$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raiders | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texans | 47c | 890$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.3 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raiders | 51c | 883.72$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.02 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Texans | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Texans | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Texans | 46c | 721.68$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.97 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Texans | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Raiders | 55c | 604.31$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.31 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Raiders | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Raiders | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Raiders | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Raiders | 54c | 435.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.19 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Raiders | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Texans | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Raiders | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Raiders | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Texans | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Texans | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Raiders | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raiders | 52c | 221.45$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Texans | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texans | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Texans | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Texans | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Texans | 49c | 205.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Texans | 49c | 204.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Raiders | 54c | 201$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Texans | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Raiders | 53c | 190.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Texans | 48c | 167.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Raiders | 53c | 156$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texans | 45c | 146$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked Texans | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Texans | 49c | 137.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Texans | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texans | 47c | 109.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed Raiders | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…4c9abacked Texans | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Texans | 45c | 101.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Texans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Texans | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Raiders | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Texans | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Texans | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Raiders | 53c | 91.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5689…9422backed Texans | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Raiders | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Texans | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Raiders | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Texans | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Raiders | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Texans | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Texans | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Raiders | 51c | 54.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Raiders | 51c | 54.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Texans | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Raiders | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Texans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Texans | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 74.3%75 W · 26 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…454abacked Raiders | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Texans | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…a9c5backed Texans | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Texans | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Texans | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Raiders | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Texans | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b3…2b1ebacked Texans | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…dc73backed Raiders | 52c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Raiders | 51c | 26.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Texans | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1e90backed Raiders | 75c | 21.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Raiders | 78c | 20.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…b8a0backed Raiders | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texans (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Texans (-7.5)Raiders won
- Raiders vs. TexansTexans won
- Raiders vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 37.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 38.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Texans: O/U 39.5Over won
- Spread: Texans (-11.5)Raiders won
- Spread: Texans (-12.5)Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.