UFC · resolved market

UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1485153411f994d6fe542f172fd9a99654892bd6df2aeac3a821011075745a9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Salkilldof Mullarkey, Salkilld
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $479,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $569,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mullarkey	12c	73,078$8,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,526.62	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Mullarkey	11c	69,994$7,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,699.34	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mullarkey	12c	28,532$3,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,423.8	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Mullarkey	11c	15,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,649.98	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Mullarkey	11c	13,674$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.61	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mullarkey	12c	10,316$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.11	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Mullarkey	11c	7,873$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.83	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Mullarkey	11c	6,669$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.87	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Mullarkey	13c	6,631$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.23	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Mullarkey	1c	6,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Mullarkey	12c	5,094$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.23	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mullarkey	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Mullarkey	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Mullarkey	14c	5,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Mullarkey	11c	4,811$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.26	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mullarkey	12c	4,018$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.96	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Mullarkey	10c	3,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.99	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Mullarkey	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Mullarkey	12c	2,980$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.01	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Mullarkey	11c	2,499$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.89	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf09c…4d9abacked Mullarkey	12c	2,455$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+117.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd788…f375backed Mullarkey	14c	2,318$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.22	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Mullarkey	10c	2,220$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x874f…a13dbacked Mullarkey	18c	2,177$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Mullarkey	12c	2,025$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.97	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd750…e32cbacked Mullarkey	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Mullarkey	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.99	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f14…892abacked Mullarkey	12c	1,823$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Mullarkey	17c	1,750$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mullarkey	12c	1,573$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.52	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked Mullarkey	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Mullarkey	12c	1,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefa…2d63backed Mullarkey	11c	1,273$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mullarkey	14c	1,082$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.81	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x623e…6b73backed Mullarkey	14c	1,010$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc8…e458backed Mullarkey	12c	1,006$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ce…f646backed Mullarkey	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Mullarkey	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Mullarkey	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Mullarkey	6c	911.6$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.7	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-88.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664f…1065backed Mullarkey	5c	825$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56eb…2d13backed Mullarkey	12c	816.67$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af2…dd08backed Mullarkey	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Mullarkey	13c	700$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Mullarkey	12c	650$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mullarkey	18c	615$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.44	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Mullarkey	12c	600$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…b6c9backed Mullarkey	16c	562.5$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mullarkey	12c	498.11$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.28	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd19d…6249backed Mullarkey	13c	487.31$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed Mullarkey	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Mullarkey	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbc…8660backed Mullarkey	12c	401.09$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.37	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…2301backed Mullarkey	16c	383.18$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.65	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56a6…2926backed Mullarkey	11c	370$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda79…daecbacked Mullarkey	12c	369.15$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	185	40.5%75 W · 110 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Mullarkey	12c	358.43$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.01	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Mullarkey	12c	339.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Mullarkey	12c	333.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Mullarkey	11c	324.8$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.73	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Mullarkey	13c	321.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe05…6c72backed Mullarkey	13c	307.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Mullarkey	12c	300.01$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d8…064ebacked Mullarkey	12c	299.67$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.96	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3739…307fbacked Mullarkey	11c	299$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x086e…1542backed Mullarkey	12c	291.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Mullarkey	13c	272.55$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Mullarkey	11c	269.23$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb59c…e944backed Mullarkey	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x220f…5476backed Mullarkey	12c	247.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Mullarkey	14c	242.81$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.99	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fb…9ec1backed Mullarkey	11c	230$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Mullarkey	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd036…a17cbacked Mullarkey	22c	226.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.93	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0610…5d4dbacked Mullarkey	11c	219.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Mullarkey	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Mullarkey	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-49%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked Mullarkey	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa0…f0e6backed Mullarkey	12c	200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Mullarkey	12c	190$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19b…bf9fbacked Mullarkey	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Mullarkey	17c	174.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa317…4ae3backed Mullarkey	12c	171.57$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+3.1wins	+0.52per pick	31cpaid	+211.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe221…5334backed Mullarkey	11c	169.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…928fbacked Mullarkey	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ca…c1d1backed Mullarkey	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d24…1ac2backed Mullarkey	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…82edbacked Mullarkey	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x855c…d9efbacked Mullarkey	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Mullarkey	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1463…a0aebacked Mullarkey	16c	162.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaed…f6a0backed Mullarkey	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Mullarkey	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b0…ee7cbacked Mullarkey	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.19per pick	42cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66f7…417cbacked Mullarkey	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Mullarkey	15c	149.53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…8faebacked Mullarkey	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x625d…d234backed Mullarkey	21c	140$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Mullarkey	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Mullarkey	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Jamie Mullarkey win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Quillan Salkilld win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event