TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08ec…8c8d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
320
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT16134.2%55 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 161 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.54
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.81
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.07
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.98
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$80.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.6
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.99
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.45
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$602
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.47
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.46
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.26
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$252
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+237.9%+$239.38
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.32
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$203
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Showing 25 of 161 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4955.1%27 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,199.2
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.85
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.2
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$114.4
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.23
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$146.93
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.1
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.84
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$675
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+91%+$286.74
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.52
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$293.48
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$147.84
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$601.86
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$362.1
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.63
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$526.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$94.35
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$69.78
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+130%+$220.4
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$290.69
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$222.75
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$69.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$317.98
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.09
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$139.72
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$94.3
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$244.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46.9
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+426.9%+$2,138.63
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+115.4%+$1,180.79
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$286.66
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.4%+$212.63
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$166.83
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$125.45
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88%+$345.58
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+125.6%+$425.3
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+67.8%+$345.98
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.79
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+202.5%+$285.45
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+113.7%+$411.71
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+109.7%+$664.27
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+182.4%+$256.16
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.91
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300.14
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$263.52
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$364.31
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$251.99
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$158.33
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.01
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.77
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$375.18
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$78.01
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$396.01
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$297
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66.6
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+142.5%+$79.54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$159.24
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+86.5%+$101.71
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.94
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 24 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+407.9%+$705.02
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Beneil Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gerald Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$596.72
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+186.1%+$355.37
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+231.2%+$987.28
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.3%+$491.75
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$250
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Finney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$245
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+215%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$88.15
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$117
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubrovnik: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.