NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225c640cf7a990a1804946871705552bdb3a5a027430594f55f3bb617f4bbcd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Penguins, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,427,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,481,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,427,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Penguins | 49c | 749,257$367,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367,135.74 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Flyers | 51c | 516,639$262,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254,461.95 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Flyers | 52c | 499,564$258,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,757.65 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Penguins | 50c | 302,434$151,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,192.86 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 51c | 120,000$61,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,299.96 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flyers | 51c | 83,200$42,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,768 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Penguins | 48c | 80,764$38,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,766.79 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Flyers | 52c | 78,634$40,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,910.52 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…732cbacked Penguins | 48c | 62,000$29,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Penguins | 0c | 56,046$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Flyers | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Flyers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Flyers | 50c | 38,788$19,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,394 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 52c | 35,126$18,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,892.59 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 47c | 33,538$15,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,762.83 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers | 51c | 25,495$12,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,573.56 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Flyers | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,250 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Penguins | 48c | 23,600$11,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,328 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Flyers | 53c | 21,112$11,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,922.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Penguins | 50c | 19,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Penguins | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,066.24 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Flyers | 50c | 15,800$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Flyers | 52c | 14,631$7,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Flyers | 52c | 12,906$6,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.71 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Flyers | 51c | 12,863$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,357.71 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Penguins | 49c | 11,864$5,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,813.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Flyers | 53c | 10,551$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.44 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 58c | 10,461$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.14 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 51c | 10,385$5,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076.11 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Flyers | 51c | 9,848$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.68 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flyers | 51c | 9,547$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.69 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Flyers | 78c | 9,205$7,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Penguins | 50c | 7,759$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers | 52c | 7,700$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.16 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flyers | 52c | 6,699$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Penguins | 50c | 6,384$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.36 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Penguins | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Flyers | 52c | 5,555$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.62 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 49c | 5,253$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.89 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Penguins | 48c | 5,073$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.87 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…5809backed Penguins | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…2948backed Penguins | 53c | 4,492$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Flyers | 50c | 4,435$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.26 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Flyers | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.73 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Flyers | 52c | 4,081$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Flyers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Flyers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Flyers | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…9c84backed Flyers | 53c | 3,585$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Penguins | 49c | 3,577$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.89 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…a912backed Flyers | 53c | 3,513$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…0200backed Penguins | 47c | 3,487$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Flyers | 52c | 3,444$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…2007backed Penguins | 47c | 3,413$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Penguins | 49c | 3,301$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.6 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Flyers | 52c | 3,300$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.97 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…a2acbacked Penguins | 47c | 3,288$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…f214backed Flyers | 53c | 3,231$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…8352backed Penguins | 47c | 3,208$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…5bf1backed Flyers | 53c | 3,205$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…eb6abacked Flyers | 53c | 3,162$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Flyers | 48c | 3,038$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.56 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Flyers | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.38 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Flyers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1525…62dcbacked Penguins | 47c | 2,903$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Flyers | 52c | 2,820$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…750cbacked Penguins | 47c | 2,805$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Flyers | 51c | 2,673$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.77 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Penguins | 50c | 2,593$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Flyers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 42c | 2,442$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.77 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Flyers | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Flyers | 52c | 2,373$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.08 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979a…546bbacked Flyers | 53c | 2,267$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Flyers | 53c | 2,261$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Flyers | 52c | 2,230$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.04 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Flyers | 52c | 2,223$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Penguins | 51c | 2,188$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Penguins | 48c | 2,184$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.6 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cd…e0d1backed Penguins | 47c | 2,052$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Penguins | 50c | 2,032$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.02 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Flyers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Penguins | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e72bbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,856$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Flyers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Penguins | 49c | 1,743$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.61 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Flyers | 52c | 1,736$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.18 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Flyers | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Flyers | 52c | 1,671$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.89 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flyers | 51c | 1,596$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.54 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Flyers | 51c | 1,571$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.05 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Flyers | 52c | 1,545$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.39 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Flyers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Flyers | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Flyersthis page
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.