MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb4def5f8d7b2118920f73ac4531102daa64ff9c5b417cf2f80183ce38fae5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 56c | 26,786$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,785.71 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Yankees | 55c | 19,767$10,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,895.37 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 19,116$8,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,582.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 16,648$7,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 70c | 11,199$7,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 11,072$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.56 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 10,794$7,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.46 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed New York Yankees | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed New York Yankees | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees | 57c | 8,819$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.4 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 8,438$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.22 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 7,736$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed New York Yankees | 58c | 6,471$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 6,220$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 5,887$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.14 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 5,211$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.91 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 5,021$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 28.6%32 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed New York Yankees | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 36c | 4,738$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,404$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.65 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 3,181$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 3,125$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 3,052$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.44 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 2,298$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.15 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,064$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.33 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 2,044$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees | 70c | 2,009$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.06 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed New York Yankees | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,863$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.36 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,858$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.39 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 1,826$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.52 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 1,803$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,627$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,516$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,504$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.75 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,500$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,423$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.97 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,398$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.66 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,325$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 1,150$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed New York Yankees | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…c9d9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 53c | 1,048$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Toronto Blue Jays | 1c | 1,032$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.2 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed New York Yankees | 80c | 995$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed New York Yankees | 50c | 964.5$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.25 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 951.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.59 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…fa57backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 920$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 897.34$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.22 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 849.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 65c | 802$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 772.07$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 756.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 21c | 692.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.65 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked New York Yankees | 63c | 690.44$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.57 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 659.72$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 623.93$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.9 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Yankees | 50c | 622.53$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 608.75$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees | 38c | 577.84$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 560.21$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 537.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…6e7ebacked New York Yankees | 56c | 537.08$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees | 45c | 513.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 501.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed New York Yankees | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed New York Yankees | 79c | 477.76$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 454.04$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.22 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedeb…b612backed New York Yankees | 56c | 399.27$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed New York Yankees | 56c | 380$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.71 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 372.83$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed New York Yankees | 56c | 362.05$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked New York Yankees | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed New York Yankees | 56c | 354.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 338.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked New York Yankees | 79c | 334.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.