TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedeb…b612

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.92
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$49.5
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$39.36
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+136.1%+$58.53
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$29.38
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+203%+$40.61
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$99.9
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$64
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$74.38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$161.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$102.22
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$38
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$175.73
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$173.98
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.