NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838a004ae777eeab76bc08c3b811e8b63c9d123e2cd7b322aab84faaa5e71855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,088,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,166,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,088,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 37c | 266,082$98,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,539.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Raptors | 62c | 61,094$37,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,215.58 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 65c | 55,887$36,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,351.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 38c | 50,430$19,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,037.08 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Bucks | 38c | 48,286$18,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,348.64 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Raptors | 62c | 30,117$18,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.29 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Bucks | 38c | 26,602$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Raptors | 62c | 21,221$13,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,063.98 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 33c | 21,179$7,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,033.27 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Raptors | 65c | 20,560$13,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,119.53 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Raptors | 62c | 16,371$10,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.46 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Raptors | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Raptors | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Bucks | 38c | 14,156$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.42 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Raptors | 62c | 13,250$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 62c | 12,073$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.63 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bucks | 9c | 12,069$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.45 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 64c | 12,010$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Raptors | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 62c | 11,654$7,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.28 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 9c | 11,133$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.74 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 67c | 10,525$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 62c | 10,192$6,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.98 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…3493backed Bucks | 37c | 8,966$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Raptors | 69c | 8,315$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.03 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raptors | 64c | 8,102$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.13 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Bucks | 36c | 7,621$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.51 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Raptors | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raptors | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 35c | 7,170$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.47 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Raptors | 62c | 6,760$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.8 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 72c | 6,556$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.74 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Raptors | 63c | 6,444$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.43 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 72c | 6,414$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…3156backed Raptors | 63c | 5,600$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Raptors | 63c | 5,524$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.81 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Raptors | 63c | 5,420$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.4 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Bucks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Raptors | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 63c | 4,821$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.61 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Raptors | 65c | 4,600$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Raptors | 70c | 4,575$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.4 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Raptors | 62c | 4,470$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.63 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Raptors | 64c | 4,000$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Bucks | 38c | 3,939$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.71 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 64c | 3,901$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.74 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Raptors | 63c | 3,728$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.77 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed Bucks | 38c | 3,726$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.88 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 63c | 3,500$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.97 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Raptors | 75c | 3,385$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.71 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 15c | 3,361$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.76 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Raptors | 62c | 3,238$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.31 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bucks | 37c | 3,237$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.48 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Raptors | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Raptors | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bucks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bucks | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Raptors | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Raptors | 65c | 2,952$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.2 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 37c | 2,871$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 62c | 2,816$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.24 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Raptors | 61c | 2,792$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks | 17c | 2,779$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.36 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 63c | 2,752$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.4 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…1665backed Bucks | 38c | 2,646$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Raptors | 64c | 2,528$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.36 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…f4b4backed Bucks | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 63c | 2,467$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.68 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 64c | 2,460$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Raptors | 65c | 2,396$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.6 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 70c | 2,240$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.64 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Bucks | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 5c | 2,113$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Raptors | 62c | 2,016$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.13 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -11.2wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Bucks | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…dc0cbacked Raptors | 63c | 1,999$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 72c | 1,870$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.05 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…6d10backed Raptors | 67c | 1,800$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.13 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 62c | 1,791$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.44 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…11debacked Bucks | 37c | 1,700$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Bucks | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Raptors | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Raptors | 65c | 1,596$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.46 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Raptors | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Raptors | 62c | 1,570$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.56 | 447 | 51.5%230 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed Raptors | 62c | 1,553$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.05 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Raptors | 63c | 1,547$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.3 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed Bucks | 24c | 1,514$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Bucks | 7c | 1,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bucks | 37c | 1,459$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…456ebacked Bucks | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Raptors | 71c | 1,394$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Bucks | 18c | 1,312$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.18 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b76…bf1dbacked Bucks | 1c | 1,287$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Bucks | 39c | 1,285$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.15 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks | 1c | 1,229$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bucksthis page
- Raptors vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.