NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0d512beba283959a7fdc21ea8695a37607b4a1da32f9cc90886ddc980c5f87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Under | 52c | 21,492$11,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,316.06 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 14,549$7,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 55c | 4,098$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.05 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 49c | 4,064$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.75 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 2,930$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.18 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.11 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 1,933$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.1 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 1,692$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…53eabacked Under | 48c | 1,445$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 51c | 1,224$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.2 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 47c | 1,111$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 986.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.77 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 883$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.16 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 845.29$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 48c | 535.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Under | 50c | 428$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 408$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 394.64$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.32 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 240.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Under | 47c | 205.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 203$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 194.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 52c | 192.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Over | 47c | 160.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 48c | 160.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 140.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 48c | 103.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 50c | 79.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Over | 52c | 73.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 61.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…e814backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…8bfdbacked Over | 48c | 53.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Over | 48c | 51.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…eefabacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…d04ebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Under | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Under | 54c | 36.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 46c | 36.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 53c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Under | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5this page
- Raptors vs. BucksRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.