TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0e6…7ef4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$293.63
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$293.23
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+110.5%+$105.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31.6
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+87.5%+$28
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.4
Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.53
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$149.28
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$38.47
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+109.1%+$159.22
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.9%+$136.4
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+133.6%+$160.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+86.8%+$164.35
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+52.9%+$27.38
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+43.3%+$181.88
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+84.1%+$504.2
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$245
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.03
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+386.1%+$52.17
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+77.2%+$266.06
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+80.5%+$247.52
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+194.1%+$116.47
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+73.5%+$165.75
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,684.42
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$47.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Dino Prizmicbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.7%+$85.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$36.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$498.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.