TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes23c42,247$9,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,562.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No78c25,503$19,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.739459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c20,252$15,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.14,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes22c17,975$3,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,954.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No78c13,000$10,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8606764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.011947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes5c4,415$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No78c3,497$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.3723452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No79c2,055$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6725248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c1,655$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.591,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes17c1,618$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.777236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes19c1,544$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.424242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes21c1,390$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8838729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…c4e8backed Yes21c1,366$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No77c1,358$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.363946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes17c1,249$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3210927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No79c1,068$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.349055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c1,027$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5350243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes22c987.5$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.255125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No78c973.67$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9927854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes19c797.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4212251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No79c775.95$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.952673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes21c700.57$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes21c661.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.853138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005563.6%35 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes10c480$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No77c451.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.064753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No78c440.61$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.933138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes21c412$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes20c403.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes20c400.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.821442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed Yes14c334$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.881936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes4c310.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4521842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No78c292.41$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6110956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…af75backed Yes23c286.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes22c272.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c267$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes19c256.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.758521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No78c256.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3615049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No78c250.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.224463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8d…673abacked Yes21c234.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205250%26 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa99…c057backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes21c180$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes22c176.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c175.37$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.211,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes23c166.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes9c160.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3214233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes13c125$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No78c122.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.218152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No79c113.17$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8612744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No79c107.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5631952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…7bb3backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d81…5d42backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e2e…05e5backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15a7…1d74backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5a…e25dbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a6e…85c1backed Yes18c91.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b6…1c4dbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes23c87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0148934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes20c82.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No79c80.61$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0215051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f4…3518backed Yes22c80.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.67951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes20c78.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…4a82backed Yes21c78.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…2fbfbacked Yes22c77.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed No78c74.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…5898backed Yes21c72.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes23c69.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eab…cbd7backed Yes22c67.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No78c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.218551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No79c58.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.273378.8%26 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e3…dac9backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No78c44.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.559044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.