TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x092c…3175

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST5455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$320
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$237
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$265.95
Will Everton FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$73.5
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$107.69
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.5%+$69.02
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.13
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$270.37
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.64
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-6.2wins-0.27per pick62cpaid-48.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27%+$54.01
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$208.16
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$144.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$154.55
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Krakenbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Golden Knights vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$31.59
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+96.5%+$96.51
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+41%+$40.97
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.3%+$117.27
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+41.7%+$41.71
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+102.5%+$102.47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+486.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+109.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Long Beach State Beach vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25.9%+$25.94
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+110.4%+$110.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+59%+$59.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+51.7%+$517.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$89.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$344.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$880.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.