NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2789fc8ae5d401188343d174eb21d4f118203e5db90a0d02d7f52c776c30bf4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $641,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Senators | 59c | 345,663$203,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,505.44 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Senators | 57c | 85,578$48,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,744.97 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Devils | 42c | 71,132$30,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,088.76 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Devils | 41c | 52,000$21,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,679.99 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Devils | 40c | 51,700$20,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,762.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Devils | 41c | 39,928$16,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,659.84 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 41c | 31,098$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,347.56 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Devils | 36c | 30,000$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,349.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Devils | 42c | 28,008$11,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,295 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 69c | 19,521$13,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,503.12 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Devils | 42c | 17,759$7,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,223.25 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 41c | 12,013$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,060.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Devils | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.03 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Devils | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Devils | 41c | 9,756$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,756.04 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Devils | 42c | 9,568$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568.94 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Devils | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Devils | 43c | 7,500$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 41c | 7,495$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.95 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Devils | 42c | 7,050$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 43c | 6,293$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.02 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Senators | 59c | 5,500$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Senators | 54c | 5,366$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.88 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Devils | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Devils | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Devils | 43c | 4,260$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.2 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…7a4fbacked Senators | 55c | 4,069$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…8bb6backed Devils | 45c | 4,058$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Devils | 47c | 3,768$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Devils | 43c | 3,505$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.58 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Devils | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Senators | 54c | 3,183$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Devils | 42c | 3,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Devils | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Senators | 77c | 2,829$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.83 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 42c | 2,734$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.14 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Senators | 59c | 2,496$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.76 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Devils | 43c | 2,486$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.02 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…d52ebacked Devils | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…ee44backed Senators | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Devils | 41c | 2,125$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.75 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 41c | 2,122$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Devils | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Devils | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Devils | 41c | 1,878$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.02 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 42c | 1,759$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.69 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Devils | 43c | 1,749$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.21 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Devils | 41c | 1,698$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.02 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…6496backed Senators | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Devils | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Devils | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.93 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Devils | 43c | 1,315$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Devils | 41c | 1,314$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.57 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Devils | 44c | 1,300$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Devils | 43c | 1,280$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.6 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Devils | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Devils | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Devils | 41c | 1,143$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.62 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Senators | 47c | 1,123$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.62 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Devils | 46c | 1,117$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Senators | 58c | 1,116$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.28 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Devils | 43c | 1,098$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.67 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Devils | 25c | 1,058$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.15 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Senators | 58c | 1,040$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Senators | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Devils | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Senators | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…fa4fbacked Senators | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 40c | 976.17$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…7925backed Devils | 45c | 966.67$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Devils | 46c | 935$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 50c | 920.41$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.38 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 35c | 890.48$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.89 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Devils | 42c | 767.98$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Devils | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…5e69backed Devils | 45c | 757.78$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…8395backed Senators | 56c | 757.77$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Devils | 43c | 755$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.35 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Devils | 33c | 736$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Devils | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9422backed Devils | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.17 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Devils | 40c | 658.05$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.22 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 56c | 637$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.72 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…fcd7backed Devils | 43c | 611.51$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Devils | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Devils | 43c | 510$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Devils | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Senators | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Devils | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Senators | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Devils | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Devils | 42c | 480.02$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Devils | 43c | 478.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.02 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Devils | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Devils | 66c | 474.97$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 59c | 471.64$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.58 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Senatorsthis page
- Devils vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.