Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f1c59a65345d58319a686f89cbf8fddee3308deed47fc4c77ad91214281201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 50c | 12,007$5,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,042.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 6,044$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…54c3backed No | 58c | 6,016$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,489 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 3,072$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.43 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 51c | 1,979$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 55c | 1,154$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.31 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 29c | 690.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.69 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 42c | 480.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…10babacked No | 13c | 410$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 51c | 391.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 41c | 365.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 42c | 325$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 59c | 280.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 48c | 267.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 37c | 252.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 35c | 249.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 211.32$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 44c | 182.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 10c | 162.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 28c | 141.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 40c | 137$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 42c | 135.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 41c | 131.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 121.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 41c | 113.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 48c | 102$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 50c | 84.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 58c | 74.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 42c | 70.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 59c | 60.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 58c | 60.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 48c | 59.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 58c | 54.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 52.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…fdedbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will FC Volendam vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.