Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Volendam vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7af2767c895f4834d0037ee024c2bdfa9c0c88aa8f771197941d3417fd7a8bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbcf8…5b23backed Yes | 5c | 8,580$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 2,312$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 983.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 51c | 956.1$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.49 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 602.79$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 322.39$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 27c | 262.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…10babacked Yes | 13c | 143.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 48c | 103.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 56c | 99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 75c | 61.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 73c | 48.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 51c | 47.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked No | 75c | 25.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Volendam vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.