TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0a2…1096

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-49.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Krakenbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Senators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kraken vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will CD Tondela win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Will AZ win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+136.5%+$40.96
Will CD Nacional win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will NAC Breda win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+67%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+90%+$9
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+163.2%+$48.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.