NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e666172bb2b674d9e4c1d2e8c5120a2f2edec28d5ae47eba9d67930b9a6a400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Maple Leafs, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $748,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $816,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Predators | 51c | 296,793$151,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,438.54 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 223,834$109,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,678.73 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 208,250$106,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,207.5 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Predators | 49c | 164,151$80,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,459.97 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 35,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,599.89 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…c625backed Predators | 49c | 18,512$9,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,441.12 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Predators | 49c | 18,000$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,180 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Predators | 49c | 10,012$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.4 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Predators | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 9,048$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Predators | 49c | 8,673$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.46 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Predators | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Predators | 48c | 8,326$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.93 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 49c | 7,320$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.92 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 6,555$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.36 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Predators | 69c | 6,085$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.25 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 5,777$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 5,245$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.1 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Predators | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Predators | 50c | 4,736$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Predators | 55c | 3,901$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.13 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Predators | 48c | 3,777$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.98 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Predators | 55c | 3,369$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.8 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 51c | 3,266$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.34 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Predators | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,614$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,578$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.16 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Predators | 49c | 2,549$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd4…8f7abacked Predators | 49c | 2,531$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,430$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.6 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Predators | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,141$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.16 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 49c | 2,044$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.06 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,981$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.11 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Predators | 50c | 1,775$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.5 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Predators | 49c | 1,770$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.7 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e11…2c11backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,753$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,500$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 1,463$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,363$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,363$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.97 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Predators | 51c | 1,345$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.06 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Predators | 53c | 1,168$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.71 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.66 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked Maple Leafs | 75c | 1,164$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Predators | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.32 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,016$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 987.53$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.05 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 42c | 974.9$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.63 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 935.18$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.29 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Predators | 58c | 901.07$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.64 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0d…e1a5backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 822$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…02acbacked Predators | 51c | 805.88$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 784.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Maple Leafs | 22c | 773.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…8e64backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 770.6$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…741dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 712$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.12 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 663.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Predators | 50c | 578$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Predators | 57c | 515$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.25 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Predators | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Maple Leafs | 26c | 473.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked Predators | 50c | 425.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 423.25$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.86 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Predators | 50c | 412.71$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Predators | 49c | 398.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.21 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…428ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 392.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Predators | 49c | 383.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…8438backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 379.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Predators | 50c | 357.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.29 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8757…872dbacked Maple Leafs | 30c | 341.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 324$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 303$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Predators | 50c | 301.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Predators | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Predators | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Predators | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Predators | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 267.34$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 253.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.