NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c15b94ed78be9d2b1a7fc5203b974b3c95111eb9487b29c3d8eca06ff8395f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Islanders, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $750,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $772,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Islanders | 52c | 318,969$165,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,480.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Kraken | 48c | 82,020$39,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,650.39 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 52c | 60,004$31,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,618.95 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kraken | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Kraken | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Kraken | 54c | 37,620$20,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,485.5 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Kraken | 48c | 35,799$17,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,615.32 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kraken | 48c | 30,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Islanders | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 49c | 19,828$9,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,808.04 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kraken | 49c | 17,347$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,846.93 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Islanders | 48c | 16,681$8,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,006.67 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kraken | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kraken | 48c | 14,801$7,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,696.52 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 49c | 14,381$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.97 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Islanders | 22c | 12,512$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.86 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Islanders | 52c | 12,414$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.49 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 48c | 10,671$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.88 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Islanders | 0c | 10,299$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Islanders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Islanders | 52c | 9,931$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Islanders | 50c | 9,529$4,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.97 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Kraken | 48c | 9,450$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 10c | 9,164$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.27 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Kraken | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Islanders | 0c | 7,555$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 48c | 6,497$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.43 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken | 48c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Kraken | 48c | 5,779$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.08 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Kraken | 48c | 5,679$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.17 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 52c | 5,552$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.7 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 47c | 5,433$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.48 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kraken | 48c | 5,290$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.9 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kraken | 48c | 5,021$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.92 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kraken | 48c | 5,007$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.62 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Islanders | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Islanders | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 50c | 4,868$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kraken | 48c | 4,848$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 49c | 4,552$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.77 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Kraken | 48c | 4,169$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.85 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kraken | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Islanders | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.97 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Islanders | 3c | 3,969$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Kraken | 51c | 3,576$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.47 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Islanders | 50c | 3,565$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…ea1abacked Kraken | 49c | 3,561$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Islanders | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Kraken | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Kraken | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 48c | 2,700$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.4 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Islanders | 1c | 2,672$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Kraken | 48c | 2,392$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.84 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 37c | 2,322$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.49 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 48c | 2,296$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Islanders | 23c | 2,203$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.21 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 34c | 2,114$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.83 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kraken | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 48c | 2,014$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.83 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Islanders | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 1,988$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kraken | 49c | 1,982$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.48 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Kraken | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 44c | 1,766$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Islanders | 67c | 1,758$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.63 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Islanders | 39c | 1,660$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Islanders | 18c | 1,462$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.66 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Islanders | 54c | 1,378$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Kraken | 66c | 1,360$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.7 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Islanders | 53c | 1,310$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.28 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Islanders | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kraken | 50c | 1,151$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.59 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Islanders | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kraken | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.33 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Islanders | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Islanders | 10c | 1,011$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kraken | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders | 52c | 999.94$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…2564backed Islanders | 26c | 993.73$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Kraken | 49c | 978.38$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.97 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders | 52c | 934.76$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.16 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Kraken | 49c | 883.67$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Kraken | 49c | 849.14$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.06 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kraken | 48c | 830.25$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.85 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Kraken | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kraken | 48c | 775.36$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.18 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kraken | 48c | 768.43$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.58 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kraken | 45c | 768$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kraken | 40c | 714$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.22 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed Kraken | 49c | 683.67$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Kraken | 49c | 640.92$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.87 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 53c | 620.74$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.72 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…de52backed Islanders | 4c | 604.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Islanders | 52c | 599.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Krakenthis page
- Islanders vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Kraken won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.