TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes62c29,331$18,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,181.0313933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No40c25,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0002138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes60c19,854$11,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,897.182040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes65c8,191$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,319.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c6,910$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.0298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c5,880$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.4146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c5,459$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No38c5,319$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.3328659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No40c4,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes62c2,979$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528e…5c74backed Yes53c2,822$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No36c2,377$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+63.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c2,300$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.4219345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfce…b388backed No36c2,211$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d90…405abacked No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…30d3backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c964.41$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.1633444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes65c923.08$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No48c852.15$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2422852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.7511063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c667$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c572.87$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No39c528.06$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.971040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked No40c502.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.651353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes46c490.04$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2235933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes64c437.5$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes20c430$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86850%4 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+191.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No37c401.62$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5130055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No41c298.62$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.994242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No50c293.5$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes51c272$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3912156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed No38c263.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+148.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes52c242.88$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f74…558dbacked Yes52c235.19$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes60c217.25$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.362944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No60c213$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.064946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d82…ffb2backed Yes41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No42c177.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.411750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa019…faddbacked Yes56c170.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes59c170.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4610…0eb3backed Yes60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.032751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No38c135.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.621947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7378…2abfbacked Yes62c124.73$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+151.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa025…bd01backed Yes59c118$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76d…bd06backed Yes9c115$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed No45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed No37c108.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…69dcbacked Yes72c93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf763…d688backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes63c90.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.891136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507548%36 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes51c78.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes30c74.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1113149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Yes57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes37c68.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes63c63.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd06…cb1cbacked No41c61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1e…327abacked Yes61c60.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes65c57.09$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…db8fbacked No41c57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No61c53.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.943941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Yes43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.846955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a2…1096backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No76c46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.042479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes72c41.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9316865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4836…6dd4backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…199dbacked Yes65c35.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa24b…3dc0backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes60c32.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.539065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad1…d674backed Yes65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick56cpaid-76.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1fa…b266backed Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbef4…2ff5backed Yes58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes61c17.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…3663backed Yes62c17.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.