TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaad1…d674

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$27.2
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+160.8%+$16.65
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on January 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on January 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on January 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+809.1%+$88.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+100%+$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$38.99
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+34.5%+$136.36
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+669.3%+$133.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+248.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+248.4%+$49.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Barcelonabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.